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The Question Biden Won’t Answer
Will the government of Afghanistan survive America's retreat?
Afghanistan Troop Withdrawal: Will Kabul Government Survive? | National ReviewWill the government of Afghanistan survive America's retreat?
17 Apr 2021 ~~ By Matthew Continetti
It’s not just generals who are always prepared to fight the last war. President Biden’s April 14 announcement that U.S. forces will leave Afghanistan before the 20th anniversary of 9/11 has a long and complicated backstory. Biden said his decision will allow America to put this violent and ambiguous past behind it, to retire the frameworks that conditioned its foreign policy for a generation, and to focus its energies on the competition with China.
Perhaps so. The risk, however, is that Biden’s fixation on settling old scores has blinded him to contemporary realities, and has prevented him from answering the question that will determine the future of both Afghan and U.S. security: Will the democratically elected government of Afghanistan survive American withdrawal?
~Snip~
There is no evidence that the Taliban has ceased its attacks against Afghan security forces or that it has repudiated al-Qaeda. Indeed, the very “intelligence community” on which Biden places so much importance says the Taliban will escalate its war on Kabul as soon as the last American is out and that “the Afghan government will struggle to hold the Taliban at bay if the coalition withdraws support.”
~Snip~
He dismisses the potential adverse consequences of our departure while implicitly conceding that conditions in Afghanistan are about to become worse.
~Snip~
“I’m now the fourth United States president to preside over an American troop presence in Afghanistan: two Republicans, two Democrats,” Biden said. “I will not pass this responsibility on to a fifth.”
No, he won’t. What Biden will pass on instead is the responsibility for cleaning up his mess.
Comment:
The issue here for me is the hypocrisy of the media and the elites on this issue. Trump was characterized as ignorant and dangerous for trying to do this. Now the NPRs of the world are talking in much more measured tones about Biden. At least National Review is being consistent, even if you think they’re wrong.
The government of Afghanistan will not survive a total U.S. withdrawal.
“While we will not stay involved in Afghanistan militarily,” Biden said, “our diplomatic and humanitarian work will continue.”
Ask the South Vietnamese how that worked for them.
The question then becomes not to revoke the decision to leave. The question becomes what changes do we make, in the region and elsewhere, knowing the Taliban will at a minimum obtain a measure of representation in any new Afghan government.
I think it is naive to believe the Taliban doesn’t have the intent and the capability to return the country to the state of Islamic overlord rule that existed before 9/11. This will be a disaster for the Afghan people. On the other hand, in how many places in the world should we station military forces to act as a finger in the dike against catastrophe? Especially where there is little hope that the country can ever be stable. I used to think differently on this, but now I am equivocal.
Please note.... American forces have not left Germany or Japan and have remained there for more than 76 years.