I agree somewhat with statistiks take, but let me put a caveat in there; and it goes something like this...........
1. It is unlikely that Trump will be the nominee, but it is likely that whomever the repub nominee is, is going to run partially on slamming the border closed immediately, which means his/her numbers are going to look the same in the Hispanic community.............that is unless the nominee is Bush, who can't win, because 1/3 of the party will not vote!
2. Hispanic vote (believe it or not) is not the key here. A. Blacks are not going to vote in as huge numbers this time, and the repubs candidate is going to carry a larger % of them because many African Americans want that border slammed shut also. B. Obama carried a HUGE % of the Latino vote; but what if he had carried every Latino vote? Could Romney have won? Yes, if he would have carried 3.7% more of the white vote. Are there 3.7% available to the repub candidate? Oh yes, along with the African Americans who want it shut down, and a bunch of democrats who want it shut down too; and that is without even taking into account the union members who KNOW it is in their best interest to quit flooding the country with cheap labor; even if their union leaders want it because they think they can recruit them to go union.
You see, right now (forget the Hispanic vote) all the uneducated voter knows is what the media tells them. Wait a while, and let the case be made. You would think the way many people post on here, that America is all for just keeping status quo, or making all these people citizens. But oh contrair! Over 65% of the voting populace wants that border shut YESTERDAY, and the case hasn't even really been made yet. Wait till the candidates tell everyone what it is REALLY costing them, and how it is hurting their pocketbooks in wages. Still think it will only push 62-63-64-or 65%? The repubs are going to get 3.7 and much, much, more; just on this one issue!
And off topic, but I have to say this, Matthew is NOT a moderate, lol. If he thinks himself a moderate, that just cements how out of touch he really is.(or he is trying to convince that HE is what a moderate sounds like, meaning you are faaaaaaar right wing, lol. Bullshit) He may not be a far, far, far left liberal, but just his stance on his bogus, phoney-baloney, good time rockn-roll climate change nonsense, puts him squarely on Obamas voter rolls. Add to that all of his thread content on this board, and he may be Al Rodham Biden...........or Joe Hillary Gore, a new democrat for the left!