Vigilante
Diamond Member
- Banned
- #1
So much polling news today that it's really not possible to keep track of thread by thread.
National polls were USC Trump 46.7 Cankles 42 Trump +4.7 (Trump is nearing his all time high in this of 47)
PPD: Trump 45.1, Cankles 41, Trump +4.1
CO: Ipsos: Trump 43 Cankles 41 Trump +2
OH: Bloomberg, 4-way Trump +5 (44-39) 2-way Trump +5 (48-43)
CNN: likely voters, 4-way Trump 44 Cankles 39 Trump +5 (This was a killer. CNN was even quoting Quinnipiac to avoid quoting their own poll.)
FL: CNN 4-way likely voters Trump 47 Cankles 44
In the two CNN polls, Trump crushes Cankles with whites, Trump is +22 in OH and +29 in FL. Now, you have to read more closely: it appears that 57% of "nonwhites" belong to Trump, Johnson, or Stein but don't say how they are distributed. That's a LOT.
MI: Fox, 2-way Cankles 47 Trump 42 Cankles +5, 4-way Cankles 45, Trump 39 (Cankles +6). First, this is odd because it's about the only poll I've seen where Cankles does better in a four-way than a head to head. Second, the really important thing is that in the two-way, Cankles was at 10% just a month ago, meaning her lead has been chopped in half. In four way, from 11 to 6. As usual, Trump leads with indies in a two way, Johnson with indies in a 4-way (I think a majority of them will come to Trump in a real election). But Trump still beats Cankles among indies no matter how it's sliced.
Maine: Boston Globe/SurveyUSA 4-way Clinton 42, Trump 39, Clinton +3 (Minion lost this state by 15 folks)
Maine CD2: Boston Globe 4-way Trump 47, Clinton 37, Trump +10 = 1 Electoral vote right there
Kansas: KSN News/SurveyUSA 4-way T Trump 48, Clinton 36, Trump +12 Don't forget this was Cruz territory and a lot of Cruzers still there, many of which will come around on election day
North Carolina: Suffolk (unclear if two or fourway): Trump 44, Cankles 41 Trump +3
Trump is also up in the most recent NV poll. The Republican presidential nominee has 44% support of voters while his Democratic rival is at 42%, within the poll's margin of sampling error. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson stands at 8% and the state's "none of these candidates" option received 3% of support.
In the Trafalgar SC poll Trump pulling 25.8% black!
and in ALL these Trump is way up (often more than 20) with Indies.
National polls were USC Trump 46.7 Cankles 42 Trump +4.7 (Trump is nearing his all time high in this of 47)
PPD: Trump 45.1, Cankles 41, Trump +4.1
CO: Ipsos: Trump 43 Cankles 41 Trump +2
OH: Bloomberg, 4-way Trump +5 (44-39) 2-way Trump +5 (48-43)
CNN: likely voters, 4-way Trump 44 Cankles 39 Trump +5 (This was a killer. CNN was even quoting Quinnipiac to avoid quoting their own poll.)
FL: CNN 4-way likely voters Trump 47 Cankles 44
In the two CNN polls, Trump crushes Cankles with whites, Trump is +22 in OH and +29 in FL. Now, you have to read more closely: it appears that 57% of "nonwhites" belong to Trump, Johnson, or Stein but don't say how they are distributed. That's a LOT.
MI: Fox, 2-way Cankles 47 Trump 42 Cankles +5, 4-way Cankles 45, Trump 39 (Cankles +6). First, this is odd because it's about the only poll I've seen where Cankles does better in a four-way than a head to head. Second, the really important thing is that in the two-way, Cankles was at 10% just a month ago, meaning her lead has been chopped in half. In four way, from 11 to 6. As usual, Trump leads with indies in a two way, Johnson with indies in a 4-way (I think a majority of them will come to Trump in a real election). But Trump still beats Cankles among indies no matter how it's sliced.
Maine: Boston Globe/SurveyUSA 4-way Clinton 42, Trump 39, Clinton +3 (Minion lost this state by 15 folks)
Maine CD2: Boston Globe 4-way Trump 47, Clinton 37, Trump +10 = 1 Electoral vote right there
Kansas: KSN News/SurveyUSA 4-way T Trump 48, Clinton 36, Trump +12 Don't forget this was Cruz territory and a lot of Cruzers still there, many of which will come around on election day
North Carolina: Suffolk (unclear if two or fourway): Trump 44, Cankles 41 Trump +3
Trump is also up in the most recent NV poll. The Republican presidential nominee has 44% support of voters while his Democratic rival is at 42%, within the poll's margin of sampling error. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson stands at 8% and the state's "none of these candidates" option received 3% of support.
In the Trafalgar SC poll Trump pulling 25.8% black!
and in ALL these Trump is way up (often more than 20) with Indies.