Someone Made $553,000 Betting US Would Bomb Iran. First Bet Placed Just 71 Minutes Before The News Broke

[skews13]

Grifters gotta grift. Someone calling themselves “Magamyman” just made $553,000 placing bets the U.S. would bomb Iran by February 28 and that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would be out of power. The first of several bets they made was placed just 71 minutes before the news broke publicly that air strikes had killed him. When this person bought in, the market had the likelihood of this happening at just 17% probability by February 28. Magamyman turned roughly $87,000 into over half a million dollars overnight. Someone else going by the pseudonym "Curseaaaaaaa," made $757,000 betting Khamenei would be out of power by March 31. Analysis by analytics firm Bubblemaps SA found that six newly-created accounts made a profit of $1 million by correctly betting that the U.S. would strike Iran by February 28. This is all some lucky, well-timed betting.

The bets were placed on Polymarket, which just happens to have Don Jr. as an advisory board member. Jr’s venture firm, 1789 Capital, also made a significant “tens of millions of dollars” investment in Polymarket. You don’t suppose Don Jr. had some inside info about the timing of bombing Iran from his dad that he passed along to one or more of his buddies, do you?

Someone Made $553K Betting U.S. Would Bomb Iran. Placed 1st Bet 71 Min Before News Broke.

Grifters gotta grift. Someone calling themselves “Magamyman” just made $553,000 placing bets the U.S. would bomb Iran by February 28 and that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would be out of power. The first of several bets they made was placed...

www.dailykos.com

Trump was right. It really was "great deal". And only at the cost of the lives of three service members...so far.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Grifters gotta grift. Someone calling themselves “Magamyman” just made $553,000 placing bets the U.S. would bomb Iran by February 28 and that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would be out of power. The first of several bets they made was placed just 71 minutes before the news broke publicly that air strikes had killed him. When this person bought in, the market had the likelihood of this happening at just 17% probability by February 28. Magamyman turned roughly $87,000 into over half a million dollars overnight. Someone else going by the pseudonym "Curseaaaaaaa," made $757,000 betting Khamenei would be out of power by March 31. Analysis by analytics firm Bubblemaps SA found that six newly-created accounts made a profit of $1 million by correctly betting that the U.S. would strike Iran by February 28. This is all some lucky, well-timed betting.

The bets were placed on Polymarket, which just happens to have Don Jr. as an advisory board member. Jr’s venture firm, 1789 Capital, also made a significant “tens of millions of dollars” investment in Polymarket. You don’t suppose Don Jr. had some inside info about the timing of bombing Iran from his dad that he passed along to one or more of his buddies, do you?

Someone Made $553K Betting U.S. Would Bomb Iran. Placed 1st Bet 71 Min Before News Broke.

Grifters gotta grift. Someone calling themselves “Magamyman” just made $553,000 placing bets the U.S. would bomb Iran by February 28 and that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei would be out of power. The first of several bets they made was placed...

www.dailykos.com

Trump was right. It really was "great deal". And only at the cost of the lives of three service members...so far.

Did his last name rhyme with Lutnick?

 

[Oddball]

If only shameless hacks like the OP were equally concerned about absurdly "lucky" cattle futures trades and a decades-long "investment strategy" that defied the odds of winning a lotto jackpot, there might be some common ground to be found here.

But they're not, so there isn't.

 

[sparky]

betting on lives goes back to Roman times......~S~

 

[CrusaderFrank]

If only shameless hacks like the OP were equally concerned about absurdly "lucky" cattle futures trades and a decades-long "investment strategy" that defied the odds of winning a lotto jackpot, there might be some common ground to be found here.

But they're not, so there isn't.

View attachment 1225634

She read the WSJ for her cattle trading tips

 

[Oddball]

Did his last name rhyme with Lutnick?

Larry Silverstein.

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Larry Silverstein.

Probably Epstein shorted the airline stocks pre 9/11

 

[skews13]

If only shameless hacks like the OP were equally concerned about absurdly "lucky" cattle futures trades and a decades-long "investment strategy" that defied the odds of winning a lotto jackpot, there might be some common ground to be found here.

But they're not, so there isn't.

View attachment 1225634

Suckers and losers really are profitable with this administration. So far only $184,333.33 a piece.

 

[Oddball]

Suckers and losers really are profitable with this administration. So far only $184,333.33 a piece.

 

[postman]

If only shameless hacks like the OP were equally concerned about absurdly "lucky" cattle futures trades and a decades-long "investment strategy" that defied the odds of winning a lotto jackpot, there might be some common ground to be found here.

But they're not, so there isn't.

View attachment 1225634

Nobody died (except the cows) for Clinton's cattle futures.

 

[luiza]

Someone Made $553,000 Betting US Would Bomb Iran​

It was a simple bet .
All of us knew about this weeks ago .
The only new factor was Trumfy's intransigence and his wish to delay until mid March .
It was simple to take the early long odds bet and recover stakes in a fortnight if losing .

I made six figures myself in one hour after the PM markets opened last night at 23.00 GMT .
As I reported here last night at 12.05 when I retired

 

[postman]

betting on lives goes back to Roman times......~S~

So does slavery.

But we got rid of slavery because it was immoral.

 

[Oddball]

Nobody died (except the cows) for Clinton's cattle futures.

Thanks for letting us all know that you don't GAF either.

 

[postman]

It was a simple bet .
All of us knew about this weeks ago .
The only new factor was Trumfy's intransigence and his wish to delay until mid March .
It was simple to take the early long odds bet and recover stakes in a fortnight if losing .

I made six figures myself in one hour after the PM markets opened last night at 23.00 GMT .
As I reported here last night at 12.05 when I retired

It was obviously either insider trading or a very risky, very lucky bet.

Occams Razor goes with insider trading.

 

[postman]

Thanks for letting us all know that you don't GAF either.

I care more about human lives than bovine lives.

 

[Oddball]

I care more about human lives than bovine lives.

No you don't...You care about your team.

 

[Deplorable Yankee]

 

[luiza]

It was obviously either insider trading or a very risky, very lucky bet.

Occams Razor goes with insider trading.

A very simple bet

US bases across the ME were being emptied .
Naval movements were public knowledge
Israeli flights were announced /cancelled
Ditto in other ME countries .

A very easy one to crack .
And even if Project Epic Blunder had been delayed , you know that Trumpfy only had a two week "veto" .

If you have the intel .
Which is on the web, if you know whom to listen to and where to look .
I don't get it right by chance or just good luck .

 

[sparky]

Did anyone place bets on Lebanon ?

~S~

 

[postman]

A very simple bet

US bases across the ME were being emptied .
Naval movements were public knowledge
Israeli flights were announced /cancelled
Ditto in other ME countries .

A very easy one to crack .
And even if Project Epic Blunder had been delayed , you know that Trumpfy only had a two week "veto" .

If you have the intel .
Which is on the web, if you know whom to listen to and where to look .
I don't get it right by chance or just good luck .

That two weeks was the difference between making money and losing money.

That's why there was less than a 17% chance of it starting before March.