Looks pretty good for First Solar.
Will Solar Power Remain Profitable in 2014
According to First Solar's recent guidance for 2014, the company expects to increase its sales by over 16% year over year. SunPower projects its revenue will be roughly $2.55 billion -- less than a 2% gain over 2013.
These developments are likely to increase the competition and bring the price of solar panels down. According to the Solar Energy Industries Association, the average price of a photovoltaic installed system dropped by 15% during 2013. This trend is likely to persist as competition intensifies. A decline in prices could also lead to lower profit margins. SunPower projects its 2014 gross margin will reach an average of 20% and could fall as low as 19%. Back in 2013, this margin was 20.4%.
First Solar's gross margin is projected to drop from 26% in 2013 to around 17% in 2014. This could partly explain the company's lower than
expected earnings per share guidance for 2014, which is between $2.2 and $2.6 per diluted share. In comparison, last year, First Solar's EPS was $3.7.
Both companies expect to see a decline in their profit margins during 2014. Nonetheless, both companies still expect to increase their capital expenditure during 2014. First Solar's capital expenditure is expected to range between $300 million and $350 million; back in 2013 its capex was $282 million. The company also has a war chest of more than $1.3 billion in cash, so a liquidity problem isn't likely to be an issue anytime soon. Even if First Solar's operating cash flow contracts in 2014, this won't force the company to cut down on its capex.
SunPower also expects to increase its capex to $160 million. Last year it was only $34 million.