Look, the fact is, most people are prety much the same - withthat thought somewhere in the back of their mind that polls they agree with must be the most accurate. The fact is, CNN typically skews left, and Rasmussen typically skews right. That's why I don't pay attention to individual polling agencies. And within any given agency, it's not unusual at all for one poll sampling to occasionally be out of line with their typical results. So even within one agency, you can't trust any one slice in time of a poll. This is what the only numbers I give any credence to are the RPC average. By combining the results of ALL the available polls, and weighting them with a formula that includes the sample size, the sampling criteria (likely voters vs registered voters vs Americans) and the age of the information, they provide a scientifically calculated average. And in 2008, it was RPC that was actually closest of all to the actual final result. Polling is not worthless. Not by a stretch. But accept it for what it is - a sampling and a point in time slice. It's useful in observing trends, momentum, and where a candidate needs to focus their efforts and message. It is NOT the election. And yes, whether Republicans like it or not, monemtum is trending toward the President. I see things in stories about how Romney's hope could rest with the October jobs report or with the price of gas. If he continues to think that way - looking for outside influences - and ones not REALLY directly controllable by ANY President, then he is in serious trouble. If Romney is going to win in November, it has to come from Romney. He needs to KILL int he first debate. If he can't steal momentum and trust from Obama in that forum, he's toast. The future of his campaign is in his own hands.... of course, Obama's going to have something to say about that too. Obama is not going to lay down and die. The first debate is crucial to Romney and important to Obama. Obama can put it away with a knockout performance, and Romney can gain back momentum. It remains to be seen which - if either - will happen.