Doc7505
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- Feb 16, 2016
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Putin has just discovered the scale of his latest miscalculation
Not all of Donald Trump’s new measures against Russia will be effective, but new sanctions are a cost the Kremlin cannot easily afford
Putin has just discovered the scale of his latest miscalculation
Not all of Donald Trump’s new measures against Russia will be effective, but new sanctions are a cost the Kremlin cannot easily afford
President Donald Trump has finally lost patience with Vladimir Putin. Having promised a “major” announcement on Russia, Trump has now confirmed that the US will dramatically increase weapons supplies to Europe for use in Ukraine and threatened 100 per cent secondary tariffs on Russia’s trade partners. Trump would only provide Russia with an off-ramp if Putin agreed to a ceasefire in Ukraine within 50 days.
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As Joe Biden’s administration had only provided Ukraine with a small number of ATACM long-range missiles, these stocks were reportedly depleted by late January. Ukraine has been forced to largely rely on its drone innovations to strike targets deep inside Russian territory and its June 1 Operation Spiderweb attack on Russian strategic bombers was a signature triumph.
While new US missiles will not unilaterally change the course of the war, they could broaden Ukraine’s ability to strike Russian military and economic infrastructure. Even without additional US support, reports suggest that Ukraine was recently able to strike a major gas pipeline in Langepas in Russia’s Tyumen Oblast that supplies military facilities in Chelyabinsk, Orenburg and Sverdlovsk. With more US aid, Ukraine’s possibilities grow significantly.
Much depends on the nature of the technology that the US is willing to export. Ukraine hopes that Trump will approve the delivery of the Precision Strike Missile (PrSM), a newly minted upgrade on ATACMs that is compatible with Himars systems. The PrSM has a strike radius of approximately 500km which is significantly higher than the 300km range for ATACMs.
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Trump’s secondary tariffs on Russia’s main trade partners may be difficult to enforce without undermining other aspects of his economic agenda. Imposing tariffs on the United Arab Emirates, a key financial hub for Russian business elites, for example, might compromise the investment influx pledged during Trump’s May trip to Abu Dhabi.
These tariffs would also risk an escalation spiral in the US trade war with China and derail final-hurdle trade negotiations with India. As Russia has already largely decoupled itself from Western-dominated financial networks, the short-term economic repercussions for US trade partners in the developing world may be worse than for Russia itself.
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Trump has finally realised that Putin can only be stopped by intensifying economic and military pressure on his war machine. This realisation might not quickly end the war, but will be a relief to Ukrainians facing Russia’s daily bombardments.
Commentary:
Pure common sense. We can't let the Kremlin endlessly continue to massacre Christians - whether they are Russians or Ukrainians. The Kremlin's lust for blood has become psychopathic. Trump will now rearm Europe just as I said he would endlessly here on FR. Europe will of course invest billions in this - all fine.
Putin lies plays games and kills civilian innocents, Trump is demonstrating that he’s always playing games but has the muscle to win even if a convoluted process, he’s slowly getting to where he said he would, Putin will lose or resort to tactical nukes. Sleep tight !!
Yet, if Putin goes to tactical nuclear attacks, the gloves are off. He knows that and will not risk upping the stakes by using tactical nukes unless cornered.
Putin's options have turned to China and North Korea for support munitions and people to fight his war against the Ukraine and the West.
The question remains as to when Western countries bordering the Ukraine begin sending men to offset the North Korean addition of another 30,000 troops to an estimated total of nearly 50,000 troops to fight in place of Russians.
Putin has virtually emptied his gulags by sending them to fight against the Ukraine and those Russians forced to serve are deserting at the first chance they have.
Indeed, many prisoners in Russia have been recruited to fight in the war against Ukraine, particularly by the Wagner Group, which has been known to offer them freedom in exchange for military service. This practice highlights the desperate measures taken by the Kremlin to bolster its military forces amid significant
Read more:
Why Russian Soldiers Are Refusing To Fight In The War On Ukraine
Activists say hundreds, possibly thousands of Russian soldiers are refusing to fight in Ukraine for reasons including exhaustion, a lack of preparation, and bad leadership. Current Time spoke to soldiers from two separate units about their actions.
www.rferl.org
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Russian Army division hit by desertions of "whole regiment": Report
More than 1,000 soldiers have left one of Russia's army divisions as the war with Ukraine continues to take a toll on the armed forces.
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Wagner uprising: A year after mutiny, Russia controls group's remnants
Moscow has effectively replaced the mercenary group's influence in Africa and Ukraine, experts say.
GREAT NEWS ! what do you think , for how long can this 13c. Mongol 