1. .....the Dems can's take a chance on losing the black constituency....so, here we are.
"...what would happen if a smaller percentage of blacks turned out:
- At 90 percent black turn-out, Wisconsin’s 10 electoral votes slide into the GOP column.
- At 75 percent black turn-out, Pennsylvania’s 21 electoral votes go Republican.
- At 70 percent Michigan’s 17 electoral votes turn from blue to red.
- At 50 percent the GOP collects Delawre’s three electoral votes.
I don’t know what a realistic number to project is for the effects of angry black apathy, but I’ll stop at 50 percent. It may be that going as low as 75 percent is unrealistic. Most likely it’s impossible to say. (And this doesn’t take into account things like congressional districts where black voters make the margin of difference.)"
Do Democrats need the black vote? | RobertEmmet
2. "But what exactly would that mean? In how many states do black voters make the difference? I ran some rough numbers over at
Robert Emmet -- check them out. Depending on how much of a drop-off you assume, it could cost the Democrats 10 to 76 electoral votes."
The Democrats and the Black Vote
3. "Democrats are heavily dependent on the black vote. That’s an opportunity for the GOP.
The black vote has become important enough to the Democratic party that
a small drop in support could make a big difference.
in the 1992 election, 13 percent of the Democratic vote came from black voters. In 2014, it was 23 percent.
That's the overall trend. On a state-by-state basis -- which is much more important in presidential politics -- it's more complex.
If there'd been a one-point swing from Obama to McCain in North Carolina in 2008, McCain would have won the state. And if the black vote in Florida and Ohio in 2012 had been as strong for the Republicans as it was in 2004 -- in the pre-Obama era -- Romney would have won both."
Democrats are heavily dependent on the black vote. That’s an opportunity for the GOP.
Which leads to this:
4. "
Clinton to call on Black Lives Matter at Dem convention
....Democratic presidential nominee
Hillary Clinton’s embrace of the Black Lives Matter movement at center stage."
Clinton to call on Black Lives Matter at Dem convention
And this is where the Democrat Party stands:
5. "Black Lives Matter activists tried to disrupt the Minnesota State Fair on Saturday and marched down the street, shouting a chant that
called for the deaths of police officers: “Pigs in a blanket, fry ’em like bacon!”
Black Lives Matter Activists Chant 'Pigs in a Blanket' After Cop Murder - Breitbart