You are pontificating based on nothing more than vague recollection and hope that you won't be called on it.
Show the forum where those examples exist, liar. The math wasn't in back then, and that panic was based on political factors. Today, it's geology, and undeniable.
It's politics and it's obvious to anyone not sucking the turd.
Here's a few quotes I found after a simple Bing search.
Civilization will end within 15 or 30 years unless immediate action is taken against problems facing mankind.
George Wald, Harvard Biologist
Population will inevitably and completely outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten years.
Paul Ehrlich, Stanford University biologist
Dr. S. Dillon Ripley, secretary of the Smithsonian Institute, believes that in 25 years, somewhere between 75 and 80 percent of all the species of living animals will be extinct.
Sen. Gaylord Nelson
The world has been chilling sharply for about twenty years. If present trends continue, the world will be about four degrees colder for the global mean temperature in 1990, but
eleven degrees colder in the year 2000. This is about twice what it would take to put us into an ice age.
Kenneth Watt, Ecologist
Oops!
I'll ask you again: Where is the light crude then? You won't have an answer besides hope-based pablum. And heavy shale/tar sands is not oil. Not the kind that perpetuates "infinite growth."
Oh so now we can only have petroleum if it's light crude? Speaking of growing up. Yes, it is true, the KNOWN fields of this have dwindled some thanks to use, but this does not equal that we have hit peak oil. Secondly, our largest source of oil IS Canadian Tar Sands. Wow... seem to be doing pretty well with that, don't we? Hell, even Hitler was able to power his war machine for a while on Coal Gassifications, which in the 1970's they discovered is profitable at 1.60ish a refined gallon. Would you like 1.60 a gallon gas again? I sure as hell would.
As for your absurd notion of "Infinate growth"...? Name ONE energy source that has that. Just one. I've never asserted that. The only assertion I make is that the end of a petroleum based society will come by technological evolution and the end of petroleum by consumption is centuries off. The market already has the most effective indicator of when that will be: Price. But, for those of us who aren't blind suckers out there, the price means that we must first look EVERYWHERE before declaring a true peak.
Here's a nice little bit for your faith in the USGS and their predictive geology:
As reported in the Jewish World Weekly
"It's not just latter-day doomsayers who have been wrong; doomsayers have always been wrong. In
1885, the U.S. Geological Survey announced there was "little or no chance" of oil being discovered in California, and a few years later they said the same about
Kansas and Texas. In 1939, the U.S. Department of the Interior said American oil supplies would last only another 13 years. In
1949, the Secretary of the Interior said the end of U.S. oil supplies was in sight. Having learned nothing from its earlier erroneous claims, in
1974 the U.S. Geological Survey advised us that the U.S. had only a 10-year supply of natural gas. The fact of the matter,
according to the American Gas Association, there's a 1,000 to 2,500 year supply."
LOL... you are SUCH a limited poster. I expected a bit more, but obviously you're incapable of applying critical analysis to a subject you so arrogantly confident of, based on nothing more than "hope."... Hope is not a policy. ... Pragmatism and practicality is a policy.
Really? Tell your 'god' obama that while you're at it, that Hope is not a policy.
How much of the ocean has been thoroughly explored? How much is currently out of range due to current technology levels? How fast will this equation change when new methods and tools are created and used for extraction. You don't know! You can't know! That's why Peak Oil is BULLSHIT! Simple logic jackhole. Is that critical thinking enough for you? I can also ask questions like, how much better information would we have about our own domestic resources if the laws that currently prevent reasonable and thorough exploration were removed? How much more improvement in the energy infrastructure would be attained by eliminating ALL energy subsidies, particularly GREEN energy?
I don't critically think? I'm not the one posting Youtube "Evidence" by activists. Well here are some activists from the flip side of the coin. Who has more truthiness in your mind, I wonder? The ones who say, we're all gonna die in three months or those that say, the end of petroleum is centuries off.
Peak Oil? Include Me Out
The Myth Of Peak Oil Wow even conspiracy nuts believe peak oil is a scam for power! Quelle strange! But, they have one thing right, the shortages ARE political and artificial.
There are ways to mitigate this problem, and no one wants societal collapse. But it's deniers like yourself who keep us all stuck in the mud, spinning our wheels, continuing to feed the gluttonous beast. ... Grow up, evolve, and educate yourself.
Pull your cranial knob out of your cloacae, puddin-pop. You are ADDICTED to societal change! It is the very GOAL of Peak Oilers! What a fucking lie. You want to divest our entire culture from petroleum (an impossibility at current tech) and shove us onto unproven, unstable, insufficient forms of energy (Pinwheels, mirrors and moonshine) to save the earth from a fake crisis brought about by econazis and politicians trying to get what they can.
Again, where is the oil? How long before it can be extracted and refined? At what cost?
Faster than it will take for any current alternative energy source to equal the EROI that is found in even petroleum substitutes. And that will be paid by any cost, because we have no choice in the matter till a new source is discovered. NO CURRENT GREEN/ALTERNATIVE ENERGY SOURCES EXIST THAT CAN EQUAL THE REQUIREMENTS OF PETROLEUM AND DECREASING DEMAND IS NOT AN OPTION FOR GLOBAL SURVIVAL. This is an ugly reality. At best, Pinwheels, Mirrors and Moonshine will be able to meet our STATIC needs for energy in maybe a century if we start building nuclear power plants now. If not, we will never catch up. And that STILL won't address the fact that there is no replacement for petroleum as a mobile stored energy source.
I would advise you to watch the last 3 chapters of Chris Martenson's "Crash Course," learn about the exponential function, and stop relying on the Bible for all your answers to undeniable resource depletion that is already effecting everything we do.
I don't watch online videos. Provide a transcript. I don't look to the Bible for my answers on Peak Oil as preached by you chicken littles, I look to basic logic and history. And let's face it... both are against you.
I'll give you a tip why, too; You always use straight line projection. No matter what way you slice it, by line or parabola, your evidence always backs your conclusion. This happens on EVERY subject that someone tries to use math to predict a trend. Why? Because you can't predict chaos theory beyond a short distance. Never can, and at least (with my OWN straight line prediction) never will.
BTW, I wonder if the creation of the EPA and signing of the Clean Air Act in 1970 have anything to do with 'peak oil' being reached in that year? Things that make you go, 'hmmmmmmm....'
And for the record. I'm not a know it all... I'm just harder to bullshit than you.
And just for fun... Predictions of our today... from back then.
Paleo-Future
