Some wishes:
(1) that some more able liberals would contribute to this debate. I would like to hear Jillian's views, for example, at more length. I think that the Left is not well represented at present in this thread, at least. I know that thoughtful readers will see through the demagogic imputation of beliefs to us that neither Foxfyre nor I hold.
(2) that William Joyce were a typical racist and anti-Semite, whose misguided views could be put down to ignorance, instead of the intelligent man that he is. What a shame!
(3) that Foxfyre will contribute more. Very impressive.
Some questions for the no-problem-that-I-can-see folks:
(1) Do you recall the very funny film,
Life of Brian, which satirized Jesus Christ? It upset a lot of Christians -- I recall seeing a debate between two leading Christians in Britain, and one of the film's makers, who made them look like fools. Were someone to propose making a similar film here about Mohammed, what do you think would happen? Do you think there is any chance at all that it would get made? If not, why not?
(2) Is there anything in Islam as it is practiced by the majority of Muslims today that is in tension with the idea of secular democracy? I am not talking about the Islam of Osama Bin Laden, but mainstream Islam -- say as practiced in Pakistan, or the Sudan, or Egypt, or Saudi Arabia?
(3)Is it your belief that democratic freedoms, once established, cannot, under social and economic stresses, be overturned by an aggressive and determined minority?
And an answer: the city I was in (I am back in the UK now) was Moscow. Contrary to what I stated, Moscow does not yet have a Muslim majority, although it has the largest number of Muslims of any European city. Muslims at present account for 10 to 20% (most commentators I have read think the latter figure is closer to reality), up from just 1 percent twenty years ago. It will be a few more years before Moscow has a Muslim majority, but, unless some sort of violent nationalist reaction occurs, this change is inevitable.
Needless to say, both a violent nationalist reaction, which would probably bring a really scary, neo-fascist regime to power in Russia after a huge blood purge, on the one hand, and the Islamisation of Russia, on the other, are deeply worrying prospects.
Those who are interested in the creeping Islamisation of Russia will be interested in this article:
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THE COMING MUSLIM MAJORITY: On February 28, Russia expert PAUL GOBLE, vice dean of social sciences and humanities at Concordia-Audentes University in Tallinn, Estonia, gave a briefing at RFE/RL's Washington office. Goble said ethographers predict Russia will have a Muslim majority "within our lifetime." Since 1989, Russia's Muslim population has increased by 40 percent, Goble said, rising to some 25 million self-declared Muslims. He said 2.5 million to 3.5 million Muslims now live in Moscow, gving Moscow the largest Muslim population of any city in Europe. Russia today has more than 8,000 mosques, up from just 300 in 1991. By 2010, experts predict, some 40 percent of Russian military conscripts will be Muslims.
Goble noted that these changes have been accompanied by a "rising tide" of anti-Muslim prejudice. Public-opinion surveys reveal that up to "70 percent of ethnic Russians" express sympathy with xenophobic slogans. Goble warned that heavy-handed state efforts to "contain Islam" could backfire and cause groups to move underground, "radicalizing people who are not yet radicalized."
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Source:
Radio Free Europe website.
So we have a potential problem. The people who believe we are being rightly punished for the sins of the Conquistadores can be dismissed with a wave of the hand.
Those who think that because Western Christendom so quickly slid into the culture of narcissistic self-indulgence and sexual permissiveness, that all other cultures must also, have a slightly stronger case to answer, but only a slightly stronger one.
The fact is that no one knows much about how cultures change, and how the interplay of a dozen other factors is going to influence the social and political evolution of Europe's growing Muslim population. No one can predict the future.
I promised some answers to the statistical questions asked above, which I see that no one from the Left has dared to approach. That must wait until tomorrow. In the meantime, here is what I consider to be the most important single statistic, or pair of statistics, in the 20th Century:
Germany, contrary to certain popular prejudices, had a rich democratic tradition. Had the 1848 Revolutions been successful, a newly-united Germany would probably have evolved naturally into some sort of democracy, possibly a constitutional monarchy, like the other Nordic countries. But these Revolutions were defeated, and Germany instead followed a path to unification (around Prussia, instead of including Austria) which was less favorable to democracy. And yet, even along the reactionary Prussian-led path, democracy grew in Germany.
But ... in 1928, the German National Socialist Workers Party received a trivial 2.8% of the vote. Four years later, they were, with nearly 40%, the largest single political party in the country. And that was enough to bring them to power.
So far, in this discussion, none of us from the "alarmist" camp have offered a positive proposal to deal with the threat of Islamisation in Europe. We have just tried to establish that serious democrats should not avert their eyes from it. In future posts it is incumbent upon us to try to outline how the problem should be dealt with.