You are telling me, that the reason that trade happened was because some politician came and told us to?
No. Fail.
Well , someone had to set up a special economic zone in China , that was the Chinese government
Someone had to reduce the tariffs on goods imported from China... the government , again.
And someone set the value of the Yuan for a long time, the government, again.
China is the worst example of free trade. China's model is a weird combination :
- Massive SOE (State capitalsm)
- Free trade and investment, but only in special economic zones.
- No foreign indirect investment allowed for a long time.
- Export led growth.
Is the US a net beneficiary of the trade with China ?
I don't think so, I think the benefficiary has been China.
Arguably it has helped them a lot and improved the lifes of millions of human beings, but a balance has to be achieved. The negative trade deficit of the US can't continue growing forever.
The whole reason you need 'economic zones', or as I call them "Socialism-Free Zones", is because the government created all the harmful, economy reducing policies to begin with.
There would be no need of any SEZs, or ETDZs, if there were not these harmful policies to begin with. If the government had not engaged in regulation and protectionism, and taxation to begin with, they wouldn't need a regulation-free, protectionism free, taxation free zones for the economy to be able to grow.
You trying to credit the government for economic growth by allowing Socialism-Free Zones, is like praising the bully who steals kids lunch money at school, because he instituted a 'you can keep a dollar to eat off of' policy. Praise the bully. Thanks to him, kids still have a dollar to eat lunch with.
No, he caused the problem of them not having money to begin with.
Praise Chinese government for setting up "we will allow you to succeed here" areas. Yay government.
No, the government is who was preventing them from succeeding to begin with. And we know that, because government has built entire cities that are empty and abandoned. Why? Because they don't have freedom to succeed. They need a 'gov-free' zone placed over the cities, or they will remain empty indefinitely.
Yes, absolutely we have benefited from trade with China. If we didn't benefit from it, we wouldn't do it. Without trade from China, my company wouldn't even exist.
In fact, several of the companies I have worked for, all wouldn't exist without international trade.
Now I agree, we need to stop borrowing money. That involves less socialist policies that borrow and spend.
But you are looking at over all growth, and comparing that to China, as if the two are connected. They are not.
The reason our economy has been sluggish, is not because of trade at all. It's because we've attacked jobs, attacked our corporations, attacked the wealthy that make the economy go. In short, it's because we've been anti-Capitalist.
The reason their economy has performed much better, is not entirely due to trade. It's because they have supported jobs, supported corporations, and supported wealthy investing in their country, that makes the economy go. In short, it's because they have been pro-Capitalist.
Any country that moves more towards Capitalism, will grow faster. Any that moves towards Socialism will grow slower. That why what you see the trends with the US and China.
China is a fantastic example.
Yes, China has free-trade in limited areas..... those are the areas that have the massive growth. You don't see other areas growing, as much as the areas with free-trade.
Just like, before 1978, when they were entirely protectionist, compared to Hong Kong. Hong Kong has been entirely Free-Trade forever. Which did better? Clearly the free-trade did. Of course they also had the accompanying low-taxes, lax employment laws, low government spending, and low regulations on business.
Yes, China has State Owned Enterprises. Well there's a shock... since for 50 plus years, private enterprise was nearly banned. The fact that SOEs only employ 20% of the labor force today, and only account for 30% of the economy, and nearly all the growth is from private industry, and nearly all SOEs have private stake holders, and ALL are planned to be privatized in the future.... Not a big factor anymore.
SOEs are dying out. Even now, of China's top 10 companies, private firms that have only existed a few decades, are taking over for State companies that have been around for 70 years. Noble Group Limited, 10th largest company in China, created in 1986. Entirely private. Ping An Insurance insurance, 7th largest company in China (according to Forbes), founded in 1988.
The SOE dinosaurs, are going away. Capitalism always wins over socialism.
Export led growth.....
Again, this is natural and expected, and good. No one should be shocked by this.
The rest of the nation still has tons of controls, regulations, taxes and so on. It's a little hard to have domestic internal growth, when the rest of the domestic internal economy still has high burdensome taxes, regulations, red tape and controls.
You end up with ghost cities like Ordos China. They look at the boom in the socialism-free zones, and think that all they have to do is build a bunch of stuff, and the boom will start up there. False.
But it's more than that. People that have no money, can't buy anything. In order to have a dramatic growth of imports, you have to have people with money.
The whole reason we in America have large imports, is because we have people that buy stuff. I just bought this computer. I have the money to buy it.
In China, prior to 1978, 2/3rds of the people were earning $2 a day or less. What the heck do you think they can afford to buy that's imported?
So of course, if there is going to be growth, it will be through exports.