The bubble will pop probably in the next 2-3 months - I've got a hair trigger on my "Trump stocks"
Sure you do....you can sell your 1 share of walmart then right?
Nothing easier than predicting a market crash...sooner or later it always comes. But I will note this post and get back with you in "2-3" months.
You do that - Month off the board there will/won't be a 4,000 point correction within 3 months?
You know, you can be a fool with your own money...I am sure you can afford to lose the 140.00 you have invested. But on what basis do you say that? What reasoned analysis?
If you really really believed you knew this you would be out now. It would be the height of foolishness to try to squeeze out another 3% or so in the face of a large correction that you think you KNOW is coming in less than a quarter.
EVERY member of the business press has been predicting a nasty end for months or years now. Sooner or later they will be right. Is that what you go by?
Some think they are being contrarian by calling an end to the bull market. They arent since everyone is calling a top. Those seeing an imminent crash are simply lemmings running with the crowd.
But again...sooner or later it *will* happen. You dont know when and you lose respect by claiming you do. I have an opinion myself. We have at least a year to run I think. I dont know that but it seems reasonable to me. If the Fed goes crazy it could happen sooner. If repatriation is deeper than expected it will go much much higher before it goes lower.
So my plan is to move slowly move from 100% stocks, which I have carried for three years, to 70% stocks by about next october. And that is it. There I will hold.
If I see commodities spike I may move earlier. If something outrageous were to happen...like a 30% gain by July, I would move faster as well.
After that, when I see a correction Ill rebalance. And when I see a nasty bear market I will go all in again.
So I will take the bet on one condition. You announce when your "hair trigger" is pulled. Within the next 3-4 months of course. Let us know how successful this strategy of yours is. Lets see a deep correction...and you running ahead of it.