FoxNews.com - Number of Weekly Jobless Claims Falls to Lowest Level in Nearly 3 Years
Seriously.....does anyone think the economy is improving, and is anyone still unaware of the fact that the numbers drop because hundreds of thousands fall off the benefits each month?
How would people falling off of benefits affect NEW claims?
As for falling off affecting continuing claims, the data for extended benefits is 2 weeks behind the count of initial claims, so we can't tell yet. Tomorrow, the total unemployment numbers (not just UI claims) for February will be released so we'll see what the changes from mid-January to mid-February were.
As for your claim that the reason the numbers drop because of people falling off, I'd like to see your evidence because as far as I know there is no data available to say why anyone is no longer collecting benefits (and again that wouldn't affect new claims anyway).
Contrary evidence is that the Insured unemployment rate (% of people covered by unemployment receiving it) has been steadily dropping and is now at 3% compared to 4.9% in June 2009.