Local election predictions

Captain Caveman

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SOPN-adjusted projection. These projections incorporate official candidate lists published on 8 April. Wards where a party is not standing have been zeroed and their vote share redistributed. Read the methodology or see latest fixes.

PollCheck does not conduct its own polling. Projections are built from national polling data, local election history, and demographic modelling - not ward-level surveys. Individual ward results will vary from these estimates.


Labour projected to lose loads and Reform projected to win loads.

NO ONE is surprised.

Tories and Liz Truss, all is forgiven.
 

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