In our analysis last week, we said that there would be three topics that would dominate the short-term future of Turkey, and one was the gradual withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq. According to the discussions in the corridors of power in Ankara, the U.S. force which is currently in Iraq will be replaced by a new force consisting of soldiers from Arab League countries. Turkey will be taking over the command of this force.
This is a plan acceptable to certain circles in Turkey.
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The plan is also acceptable for certain circles who had declared in the past that the establishment of an independent Kurdish state in the region would be a reason for war. This could well satisfy the obsession with entering Iraq, which has become a taboo in Turkey. It would also reestablish the de facto control of the region. In other words, while Turkish-EU relations would continue on the back burner, Turkey would make a comeback in its own backyard. This would also mean an end to the internal fight over sovereignty and a return to the status quo.
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Scenarios which would make this plan impossible are also debated in Ankara. Those who think that the growing Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) activity -- and the remark by the prime minister that Turkey's patience is running out -- is a buildup to this are also preparing their counter-plans..
People opposing Turkey taking the reins of a new Iraqi force believe that this development would take Turkey away from the EU process and thus, would hasten internal conflict and could even lead to large-scale instability that may well have the intensity of a civil war.
Therefore, there are also plans to prevent this and force the AK Party from power -- claiming these plans could prevent a domestic conflict. For example, a broad-based Parliament that would play a leading role in the restructuring of the state.
http://www.thenewanatolian.com/htm/subs/opinions/006-2.htm
This is a plan acceptable to certain circles in Turkey.
...
..
The plan is also acceptable for certain circles who had declared in the past that the establishment of an independent Kurdish state in the region would be a reason for war. This could well satisfy the obsession with entering Iraq, which has become a taboo in Turkey. It would also reestablish the de facto control of the region. In other words, while Turkish-EU relations would continue on the back burner, Turkey would make a comeback in its own backyard. This would also mean an end to the internal fight over sovereignty and a return to the status quo.
...
...
Scenarios which would make this plan impossible are also debated in Ankara. Those who think that the growing Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) activity -- and the remark by the prime minister that Turkey's patience is running out -- is a buildup to this are also preparing their counter-plans..
People opposing Turkey taking the reins of a new Iraqi force believe that this development would take Turkey away from the EU process and thus, would hasten internal conflict and could even lead to large-scale instability that may well have the intensity of a civil war.
Therefore, there are also plans to prevent this and force the AK Party from power -- claiming these plans could prevent a domestic conflict. For example, a broad-based Parliament that would play a leading role in the restructuring of the state.
http://www.thenewanatolian.com/htm/subs/opinions/006-2.htm