Statistikhengst
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I think it's worth a read whether you are a Conservative, a Liberal or a Moderate.
Take a look:
Kasich?
Arnold Steinberg goes through a long list of stuff about the other 16 candidates, but when he does get to Kasich, the long-build up makes sense:
What I bolded, in both red and green, are the two points I consider to be the strongest points in an argument for a Kasich nomination, were it to happen.
I encourage you to read the entire article (it is long) before jumping in.
What say you? Could Kasich become the nominee via a deadlocked GOP convention in 2016, or simply win the absolute majority of delegates outright?
Take a look:
Kasich?
Arnold Steinberg goes through a long list of stuff about the other 16 candidates, but when he does get to Kasich, the long-build up makes sense:
A deadlocked convention looking at an electoral vote strategy might opt for Kasich from Ohio, along with much younger Rubio from Florida as running mate, if an outsider like Ben Carson or Carly Fiorina is not chosen. Typically, the presidential nominee - not the vice president - turns out the base. And John Kasich must do a lot to become a draw.
Kasich has no automatic claim on any Republican base - establishment (Bush and Christie), conservative (Walker, Rubio, Cruz), evangelical (Huckabee, Santorum) or outsider (Trump, Carson, Fiorina). Right now, it seems hard to imagine Kasich getting the nomination through the primary process or in a brokered convention. But he is working New Hampshire effectively, and victory there or even a second place showing could yield momentum. In the first debate Kasich came across as honest, forthright and an adult.
At a time of volatile rebellion, will a safe electoral strategy work? Kasich is remarkably comfortable in his skin...as a career politician. However, the party's hardcore wanted no accommodation with Obamacare; Kasich accepted Medicaid expansion. Activists cringe at Common Core; Kasich accepted it. At times he sounds too much like a George W. Bush "compassionate conservative." One conservative Member of Congress told me, "John is a Nixon. But I guess that's better than a Bush." Kasich's public congeniality is an asset, but insiders say he's stubborn and temperamental. Conservative leaders have no rapport with Kasich and distrust him. Movement conservatives in Ohio complain they can't work with him.
On two important issues, Kasich has credibility and knowledge. As a U.S. Congressman, he was a fiscal hawk as Budget Committee Chairman, and a defense stalwart as Armed Services Committee Chairman. As a governor he not only can argue he is a proven manager who limited the budget, cut taxes, and presided over a growing economy, but he led his state's movement for criminal justice reform, which goes beyond the base. And he has low-key appeal to evangelicals without wearing religion on his sleeve. His family's working class background gives him the in-vogue populist twist.
But John Kasich must convince Republican primary voters that he is not just anotherMitch McConnell or John Boehner, both increasingly unpopular. And he also must convince general election voters that he's not a country club Republican. And he can do both simultaneously by taking on the establishment. He needs a Clinton "Sister Soulja" moment to tell off the Chamber of Commerce.
What I bolded, in both red and green, are the two points I consider to be the strongest points in an argument for a Kasich nomination, were it to happen.
I encourage you to read the entire article (it is long) before jumping in.
What say you? Could Kasich become the nominee via a deadlocked GOP convention in 2016, or simply win the absolute majority of delegates outright?