.......U.S. President Barack Obama has set a goal of getting one million electric vehicles on the road by 2015, a target many analysts say will be impossible to achieve.[/INDENT]
President Obama probably shouldn't get a job as an auto industry analyst next year.
So glad this came up. Let's do a little math......
The U.S. light duty vehicle market (cars and personal trucks and SUVs, but not trucks with GVW over 8,600 lbs) typically ranges from 12 million a year in a very bad year to as much as 16 million in a very good year. Now, President Obama made that statement sometime in 2009 or 2010. I'll err on the conservative side and start my counting in 2011, that way we know it begins after he said it. Keep in mind that he said 1 million sold
BY 2015, not
IN 2015.
In 2011 there were 13 million vehicles sold. 2012 looks like it's gonna come in around 14.5 million. For giggles and grins, we'll assume things aren't gonna get any better (economists are predicting continued growth in auto sales, but we'll ignore that for now). Let's say that 2013, 2014, and 2015 all come in at 14.0 million. Lower than 2012. We also won't consider the fact that millions of vehicles sold before 2011 are and will still be on the road. That means since President Obama set the goal for 1 million electric vehicles on the road by 2015, the US market would have added 59.5 million more vehicles to the US car parq (yes, parq is a word...google it). So the President is setting a goal that 1 out of 60 new cars added to the roads be electrically powered. Yeah, I guess i can see how that can be interpretted as holding a gun to your head and making you buy an electric vehicle. <-----
Folks, that right thar is sarcasm, case ya didn't notice.. That's about 1.6% of new car sales.
And as far as whether or not President Obama would make a good automotive analyst or not....I don't know (or care) but what I DO know is that I AM an automotive analyst and I must be doing fairly well at it, based on what they're paying me.
For what it's worth I'm in Paris right now covering the Mondial de Automobile (Paris Auto Show). The hottest car in the place right now is a shocking blue Mercedes S Class AMG. Folks, it's electric. 100%. And Mercedes announced that it officially goes on sale today. And they showed a smaller less expensive all electric vehicle that goes on sale in mid 2013. And President Obama had nothing to do with these. Mercedes decided that they needed to build these vehicles and they're doing it. Factor in the fact that an all new vehicle program takes at least three and usually closer to five years to come to market and it becomes apparent that Mercedes was working on one or both of these cars before President Obama took office. Hmmmmmm.
I'll post pictures when I get back stateside.