I predict human driving will eventually be banned on public roads

Anomalism

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I think we’re heading toward a future where AI driven vehicles replace human drivers almost entirely, and eventually, humans will be prohibited from driving on public roads for safety reasons.

Humans are statistically terrible drivers. We get distracted, emotional, tired, overconfident. Even good drivers make unpredictable mistakes. Meanwhile, autonomous systems don’t text, don’t drink, don’t road rage, and can react in milliseconds instead of fractions of a second.

Once AI systems become dramatically safer, not perfect, just significantly better, the policy conversation changes. If autonomous vehicles reduce fatalities by 80-90%, allowing manual driving starts to look like knowingly permitting preventable deaths.

At that point, insurance companies alone could push manual driving into extinction. Imagine trying to insure a human-driven car when AI fleets have near-zero accident rates. Premiums would be insane.

The bigger shift would be infrastructure.
Right now, roads are designed around human limitations; stoplights, stop signs, wide lanes, reaction buffers, parking lots everywhere. But if every vehicle is autonomous and networked, intersections wouldn’t need stoplights at all. Cars could approach a four-way intersection at speed and pass through without stopping, coordinated in real time by vehicle to vehicle communication. No guessing. No hesitation. Just continuous flow.

Once you remove human unpredictability, you can redesign cities around efficiency. Narrower lanes. Dynamic routing. Fewer traffic jams. Possibly even higher safe travel speeds in urban areas because vehicles would be synchronized rather than reactive.

Manual driving would surely still exist as recreation. Tracks, rural areas, specialty zones. Like horseback riding after cars replaced horses.
The real barrier isn’t technology. It’s the transition period where humans and AI share the road. You can’t optimize infrastructure until the majority of vehicles are autonomous.

Long term, I don’t see how human driving survives on major public roadways if AI proves substantially safer.
 
I think we’re heading toward a future where AI driven vehicles replace human drivers almost entirely, and eventually, humans will be prohibited from driving on public roads for safety reasons.

Humans are statistically terrible drivers. We get distracted, emotional, tired, overconfident. Even good drivers make unpredictable mistakes. Meanwhile, autonomous systems don’t text, don’t drink, don’t road rage, and can react in milliseconds instead of fractions of a second.

Once AI systems become dramatically safer, not perfect, just significantly better, the policy conversation changes. If autonomous vehicles reduce fatalities by 80-90%, allowing manual driving starts to look like knowingly permitting preventable deaths.

At that point, insurance companies alone could push manual driving into extinction. Imagine trying to insure a human-driven car when AI fleets have near-zero accident rates. Premiums would be insane.

The bigger shift would be infrastructure.
Right now, roads are designed around human limitations; stoplights, stop signs, wide lanes, reaction buffers, parking lots everywhere. But if every vehicle is autonomous and networked, intersections wouldn’t need stoplights at all. Cars could approach a four-way intersection at speed and pass through without stopping, coordinated in real time by vehicle to vehicle communication. No guessing. No hesitation. Just continuous flow.

Once you remove human unpredictability, you can redesign cities around efficiency. Narrower lanes. Dynamic routing. Fewer traffic jams. Possibly even higher safe travel speeds in urban areas because vehicles would be synchronized rather than reactive.

Manual driving would surely still exist as recreation. Tracks, rural areas, specialty zones. Like horseback riding after cars replaced horses.
The real barrier isn’t technology. It’s the transition period where humans and AI share the road. You can’t optimize infrastructure until the majority of vehicles are autonomous.

Long term, I don’t see how human driving survives on major public roadways if AI proves substantially safer.
You could be right, though the safety of A.I would probably just make it moot. So, someone would be allowed to over ride A.I in an emergency but otherwise A.I would be the default driver.

Driving is too profitable and citizens want control. The more control govt expresses the less citizens will feel free and govt will find that perhaps THEY are replaced.

Put 1000 metrics into an advanced A.I module and spit out the answers on how to solve an economy, recommendations etc.

You know this would be unpopular as it would cut down on corruption lol.
 
You could be right, though the safety of A.I would probably just make it moot. So, someone would be allowed to over ride A.I in an emergency but otherwise A.I would be the default driver.

Driving is too profitable and citizens want control. The more control govt expresses the less citizens will feel free and govt will find that perhaps THEY are replaced.

Put 1000 metrics into an advanced A.I module and spit out the answers on how to solve an economy, recommendations etc.

You know this would be unpopular as it would cut down on corruption lol.
I think eventually human control of society will be mostly symbolic. AI will be running everything behind the scenes.
 
I suspect you're correct.
It won't happen overnight.
And a substantial number of people will fight it tooth and nail.
But, frankly, most people are lousy drivers. And lazy. If their car can drive for them, they'll be glad to sit back and watch something on their 64K TV or whatever. :laugh:
 
I think eventually human control of society will be mostly symbolic. AI will be running everything behind the scenes.
How will we procreate?

1772157698227.webp
 
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I was promised a rocket pack when I was a kid. Another promise I remember was power was going to be so cheap it would not be metered.
This sounds like another one of those kind of promises.
 
Sex and reproduction have already been decoupled by contraception. If hyper realistic AI companions become a thing, and I don't see how they wouldn't, that separation widens. How many people will choose supermodel artificial partners over messy human relationships where they have to settle on looks and personality? What happens to birthrates?

Though reproduction doesn’t necessarily require human intimacy. It requires biology and infrastructure. We already have IVF, frozen eggs and sperm, surrogacy, and embryo screening. China and other countries are researching artificial womb technology. If full term artificial gestation becomes viable, pregnancy becomes optional rather than biologically required.

At that point, procreation could look very different. Two humans contribute genetic material and an artificial womb carries the pregnancy. It could even become possible for you to impregnate or be impregnated by an AI partner through sex.

Governments facing demographic collapse subsidize reproduction pipelines. In theory, embryos from unintended pregnancies could be transferred rather than terminated, which would completely reframe the abortion debate.

If AI ends up managing infrastructure, logistics, finance, and governance more efficiently than humans, reproduction is one of the last deeply biological domains left. Humans will not give that up easily. But if AI systems can reduce maternal mortality, eliminate genetic disease, and make child rearing safer, there will be strong incentives to integrate them into the process.

Procreation will become more engineered. What happens when reproduction is a design choice instead of a biological gamble?
 
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What's powering these AI cars? How they work after a hurricane or other natural disaster?
I'm sure we're a decent way off from this becoming reality. I don't have all of those answers. It's just my prediction that that's the direction we're heading in.
 
Dang folks, y'all need to get out more often, because AI is the opposite of freedom.
It will definitely change our lives in dramatic ways. Society no longer having a reliance on human labor could create its own kind of freedom. How many people feel like slaves to their work?

Many people do derive a lot of meaning from the work that they do though. People will have to figure out what their meaning is in a world that doesn't need their work anymore.

I think we are entering a transition period. And I think there will be some profound growing pains. I also believe we will make it to the other side and be better for it in the end though.
 
Dang folks, y'all need to get out more often, because AI is the opposite of freedom.
I think AI is the most terrifying invention in world history, even worse than the nuclear bomb.
Yes, it may "cure cancer" or whatever but I think the negatives far outweigh the positives.
I've been wrong before ...






... but rarely. ;)
 
I think AI is the most terrifying invention in world history, even worse than the nuclear bomb.
Yes, it may "cure cancer" or whatever but I think the negatives far outweigh the positives.
I've been wrong before ...






... but rarely. ;)
Imagine if they actually manage to create general intelligence in AI. They are already saying it's going to happen. What that means is AI will be capable of novel and autonomous research.

Chew on that idea for a moment. What happens to our world when an AI can do a thousand years of human intellectual work on the forefronts of science over the weekend? That's a technological singularity. We might be exploring the universe Star Trek style sooner than people think.
 
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I think we’re heading toward a future where AI driven vehicles replace human drivers almost entirely, and eventually, humans will be prohibited from driving on public roads for safety reasons.

Humans are statistically terrible drivers. We get distracted, emotional, tired, overconfident. Even good drivers make unpredictable mistakes. Meanwhile, autonomous systems don’t text, don’t drink, don’t road rage, and can react in milliseconds instead of fractions of a second.

Once AI systems become dramatically safer, not perfect, just significantly better, the policy conversation changes. If autonomous vehicles reduce fatalities by 80-90%, allowing manual driving starts to look like knowingly permitting preventable deaths.

At that point, insurance companies alone could push manual driving into extinction. Imagine trying to insure a human-driven car when AI fleets have near-zero accident rates. Premiums would be insane.

The bigger shift would be infrastructure.
Right now, roads are designed around human limitations; stoplights, stop signs, wide lanes, reaction buffers, parking lots everywhere. But if every vehicle is autonomous and networked, intersections wouldn’t need stoplights at all. Cars could approach a four-way intersection at speed and pass through without stopping, coordinated in real time by vehicle to vehicle communication. No guessing. No hesitation. Just continuous flow.

Once you remove human unpredictability, you can redesign cities around efficiency. Narrower lanes. Dynamic routing. Fewer traffic jams. Possibly even higher safe travel speeds in urban areas because vehicles would be synchronized rather than reactive.

Manual driving would surely still exist as recreation. Tracks, rural areas, specialty zones. Like horseback riding after cars replaced horses.
The real barrier isn’t technology. It’s the transition period where humans and AI share the road. You can’t optimize infrastructure until the majority of vehicles are autonomous.

Long term, I don’t see how human driving survives on major public roadways if AI proves substantially safer.
It didnt come soon enough to save Renee Good from herself
 
It will definitely change our lives in dramatic ways. Society no longer having a reliance on human labor could create its own kind of freedom. How many people feel like slaves to their work?

Many people do derive a lot of meaning from the work that they do though. People will have to figure out what their meaning is in a world that doesn't need their work.

I think we are entering a transition period. And I think there will be some profound growing pains. I also believe we will make it to the other side and be better for it someday though.

You address a lot of topics that fall right into what I am talking about.

If someone does not love their work, then they do not appreciate it enough to do the most excellent job, and they are a slave.
The world is there for you all the time and just waiting for you to explore and discover new things (or at least new to you).

Many people will have problems, and many already do, as well as a lot of their problems come from how connected they are to the cyber world versus the world around them, which is what I meant when I posted, "y'all need to get out more".

AI is awesome in how it can present things and I enjoy it.
However, AI has no soul, cannot share with you, and is just a needy little ***** most of the time. :auiqs.jpg:
 
Imagine if they actually manage to create general intelligence in AI. They are already saying it's going to happen. What that means is AI will be capable of novel ideas without human input.

Chew on that idea for a moment. What happens to our world when an AI can do a thousand years of human intellectual work on the forefronts of science over the weekend?
Oh, I've chewed on it for some time ... and that's why I find it terrifying. It's like The Terminator come to life.
I'm a huge fan of history and the 1950s in particular.
I shave with 1950s razors.
I play electric guitars that were all designed in the 1950s.
I'm in my seventies now. And I won't live too many more years.
Frankly, I don't think I want to see what's going to come our way: millions of people displaced from their jobs, economic collapse due to our absurd debt, possible nuclear war, etc.
I think I lived through a great time in American and world history. But it's fading ... and very quickly.
 
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Oh, I've chewed on it for some time ... and that's why I find it terrifying. It's like The Terminator come to life.
I'm a huge fan of history and the 1950s in particular.
I shave with 1950s razors.
I play electric guitars that were all designed in the 1950s.
I'm in my seventies now. And I won't live too many more years.
Frankly, I don't think I want to see what's going to come our way: millions of people displaced from their jobs, economic collapse due to our absurd debt, possible nuclear war, etc.
I think I lived through a great time in American and world history. But it's fading ... and very quickly.
It's disappointing that so many older folks don't believe in our ability to figure it out after they are gone.

Humans are known to have a natural negativity bias. It's part of what helped us survive this long. If we don't understand or can't control something, we are naturally inclined not to trust it and to assume the worst.

Sometimes that natural bias creates fear and negativity where it might not be necessary. I think this is one of those moments. I think AI is going to bring us into a profound new time. I don't think it's the end of the world. I think it's the beginning of one.
 
It's disappointing that so many older folks don't believe in our ability to figure it out after they are gone.

Humans are known to have a natural negativity bias. It's part of what helped us survive this long. If we don't understand or can't control something, we are naturally inclined not to trust it and to assume the worst.

Sometimes that natural bias creates fear and negativity where it might not be necessary. I think this is one of those moments. I think AI is going to bring us into a profound new time. I don't think it's the end of the world. I think it's the beginning of one.

Well, that does bring up something I was thinking.

You can be standing next to a canoe on the banks of a river listening to a thunderstorm rolling through the mountains upstream.
AI would probably tell you to pack up, grab some Oreos and milk on the way back to the hotel. and settle down in front of the computer or the television for the rest of the day.

But, your buddy might look at you with that crooked little smile and say, "Let's do this anyway". :auiqs.jpg:
 
Oh, I've chewed on it for some time ... and that's why I find it terrifying. It's like The Terminator come to life.
I'm a huge fan of history and the 1950s in particular.
I shave with 1950s razors.
I play electric guitars that were all designed in the 1950s.
I'm in my seventies now. And I won't live too many more years.
Frankly, I don't think I want to see what's going to come our way: millions of people displaced from their jobs, economic collapse due to our absurd debt, possible nuclear war, etc.
I think I lived through a great time in American and world history. But it's fading ... and very quickly.

Not even AI can live someone's life for them, "can't" never did anything, the object is to figure out what you can do and are willing to put efforts towards doing. The rest of the world's problems don't have to be your problems. Chances are, most of them aren't worried about you anyway.

Complacency and fear are both dream killers.
 
Not even AI can live someone's life for them, "can't" never did anything, the object is to figure out what you can do and are willing to put efforts towards doing. The rest of the world's problems don't have to be your problems. Chances are, most of them aren't worried about you anyway.

Complacency and fear are both dream killers.
A lot of people will probably experience true stillness for the first time in their lives. Lol

I think there will be a deep psychological awakening after work starts to disappear.
 
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