You demonstrate the garbage in garbage out principle perfectly...you actually believe that 1 in 30,000 CO2 molecules actually radiates a photon? In any given cubic centimeter of air, there are roughly 77,000,000 molecules...of those, about 30,000 are CO2 molecules...the odds of any of those thirty thousand molecules not having a collision with any of the 77 million molecules they are jostling around with in the time between absorption and emission of a photon is not even close to 1 in 30,000...not even close. I think William Happer was closer to the mark when he said that about 1 in a billion CO2 molecules will escape a collision and actually emit a photon...
Your numbers based on your wildly wrong odds of a CO2 molecule actually emitting a photon are so far off, that it isn't even funny to me.....garbage in..garbage out...the guiding principle of climate science..
This is old ground we are retreading. You are always guessing at things by saying, Gee this number is small or that number is big. That is not a way to handle science. Here it is again:
The relaxation time of a CO2 molecule is slightly less than 6 microSec. That means that, on the average, within
6000 nanoSec it will spontaneously emit a photon.
Reference,
https://pure.tue.nl/ws/files/3478579/109243.pdf
The average time for an air molecule to collide with it is
0.2 nanoSec. A collision will abort the radiation of 15 microns.
The excited CO2 will most likely undergo collision before it has a chance to emit the photon. More specifically,
CO2 emission probability is
0.2 ns /
6000 ns =
1 / 30,000
So, your guess was wrong. There is a
175 Watt radiation density due to CO2.
Conduction is only
0.000255 Watts per meter at STP.
It really looks like CO2 radiation is about a million times more effective than convection.
.