Harris may lose the popular vote.

[Hellokitty]

Meh, not really.

The only reason it looks close is right wing organizations are flooding the zone with bogus polls.

MEANWHILE, I voted early today in a Blue area. The line was around the block.

LOL, I live in Georgia, red county, voted, full of people but no long line, probable since we have several polling locations open for early voting all about 5 minutes apart. 1st place we went did have line so popped over to another.

 

[JoeB131]

LOL, I live in Georgia, red county, voted, full of people but no long line, probable since we have several polling locations open for early voting all about 5 minutes apart. 1st place we went did have line so popped over to another.

Okay, so no line in a state that counts... but a line in a state that doesn't.

Tells me Blue Area folks are motivated...

 

[Hellokitty]

Okay, so no line in a state that counts... but a line in a state that doesn't.

Tells me Blue Area folks are motivated...

My area votes something like 80% TRUMP and has a low population so it's not a good gauge of Georgia. I do know Georgia has broken records for early voting which started last week.

 

[Auld Phart]

How many chickens do you see?

 

[Missourian]

... but she is not, and you will be crying so much so long non-stop.

Don't make me make you an IM2 Venn diagram...

 

[Missourian]

How many chickens do you see?

View attachment 1029567

Win or lose...it's just enjoyable to be ahead for a change. Nothing we say here is going to change the outcome of the elections...

...but by g-d it's fun not to be ones sweating like a whore in church two week before the election.

I'm going to savor every minute of it.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

Harris may lose the popular vote.​

I don't guess you are willing to wager on this?

 

[Missourian]

I don't guess you are willing to wager on this?

What would you wager on a coin flip?

Let's take the low end of the oversample from 2016... 1.1

Kamala +0.9 minus 1.1 is Trump +0.2.

That's basically 50/50 odds on the popular vote.

When's the last time that happened?

 

[Harpy Eagle]

What would you wager on a coin flip?

Let's take the low end of the oversample from 2016... 1.1

Kamala +0.9 minus 1.1 is Trump +0.2.

That's basically 50/50 odds on the popular vote.

When's the last time that happened?

it was a simple yes or not question.

 

[Missourian]

it was a simple yes or not question.

I wouldn't bet on a coin flip, no.

Want to bet on the Electoral College instead?

 

[Harpy Eagle]

I wouldn't bet on a coin flip, no.

Want to bet on the Electoral College instead?

I already have a few of those, I think I am gone for a month or two no matter who wins!

 

[Missourian]

I already have a few of those, I think I am gone for a month or two no matter who wins!

That sucks.

We used to just bet Avi's or siglines of the winner's choice for a month. More fun that way.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

That sucks.

We used to just bet Avi's or siglines of the winner's choice for a month. More fun that way.

I sort of did it on purpose. This place is really not healthy, but it is more addictive than smoking was!

But I will honor my bets so it gets me away till at least the new year.

 

[Missourian]

I sort of did it on purpose. This place is really not healthy, but it is more addictive than smoking was!

But I will honor my bets so it gets me away till at least the new year.

I miss smoking.

I had to quit for Basic Training.

Eight weeks, No Smokes.

First thing I bought on graduation day was a pack of Marlboros.

Dumb.

Quit for good about 15 years ago.

I was driving, reached into my pocket, pulled out a smoke, sparked it up, looked up at the hand that was on the steering wheel...and there was a lit cigarette in it.

I was done.

I do smoke a pipe with this non-nicotine mix from California a few times a year.

Dream Lodge Herbal Ceremonial Blend from Bear Blend Amazon.com

 

[Missourian]

I sort of did it on purpose. This place is really not healthy...

That's a fact.

It used to be a lot of fun...but it was a lot smaller then.

There's very little actual discussion here anymore...just insults and fake news gotchas.

Good for venting...not much more.

 

[Harpy Eagle]

I miss smoking.

I had to quit for Basic Training.

Eight weeks, No Smokes.

First thing I bought on graduation day was a pack of Marlboros.

Dumb.

Quit for good about 15 years ago.

I was driving, reached into my pocket, pulled out a smoke, sparked it up, looked up at the hand that was on the steering wheel...and there was a lit cigarette in it.

I was done.

I do smoke a pipe with this non-nicotine mix from California a few times a year.

Dream Lodge Herbal Ceremonial Blend from Bear Blend Amazon.com

I quit smoking in 1996 and still sometimes find myself missing it. Totally crazy

 

[Thunderbird]

Kamala Harris has dropped below +1 in national aggregate polling.

View attachment 1028789
Www.realclearpolling.com

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And, President Trump is at +3 in the poll that was most accurate in 2020...

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In 2016, Trump overperformed aggregate polling by +1.1

View attachment 1028792

2016 General Election Polls: Trump vs. Clinton | RealClearPolling

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In 2020, President Trump overperformed aggregate polling by +2.7

View attachment 1028793

2020 General Election: Trump vs. Biden Polls | RealClearPolling

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If President Trump's current actual support similarly overperforms the polling, it is possible he could win the popular vote as well.

Sure, we do not elect president by popular vote, but silencing that liberal talking point would be extremely satisfying.

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This really hurt Kamala:

 

[Missourian]

It is not likely, she would lose the popular vote. RCP does not have much record of being accurate, and majority of country dislikes trump. Trump's only chance lies in the electoral college.

#

Seriously hilarious fuckup

If Harris wins, you are so scrwed.

... but she is not, and you will be crying so much so long non-stop.

Meh, not really.

The only reason it looks close is right wing organizations are flooding the zone with bogus polls.

MEANWHILE, I voted early today in a Blue area. The line was around the block.

 

[Anomalism]

I love watching overconfidence get smashed.

 

[boevans]

Polls can't evaluate feelings, and the electorate voted on feelings about gas, groceries, trans, etc.