Five Imminent Supreme Court Rulings That Could Change America (Your Predictions?)

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There are five important Supreme Court cases that were delayed until spring for a ruling. There is a history of SCOTUS not making big rulings against a newly elected President but waiting until spring to decide the cases but that doesn't necessarily mean losses for Trump.

How do you think these five go for Trump?

1. Tariffs
2. Birthright citizenship
3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)


I predict Trump will:

1. Lose 3-6
2. Lose 3-6
3. Lose 4-5
4. Win 6-3
5. Win 5-4
 
There are five important Supreme Court cases that were delayed until spring for a ruling. There is a history of SCOTUS not making big rulings against a newly elected President but waiting until spring to decide the cases but that doesn't necessarily mean losses for Trump.

How do you think these five go for Trump?

1. Tariffs
2. Birthright citizenship
3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)


I predict Trump will:

1. Lose 3-6
2. Lose 3-6
3. Lose 4-5
4. Win 6-3
5. Win 5-4

I'll be haunting ScotusBlog in June, looks like.

I'm most interested in the Birthright Citizenship and Lisa Cook firing. I think Trump should win both....I can't think of another nation that has BC like we do, where you just drop a baby in the nation and that child is automatically a citizen. Second, if the Executive Branch does not have final say over the bureaucracies, then who should?

(Here's an idea....we need fewer bureaucracies)
 
There are five important Supreme Court cases that were delayed until spring for a ruling. There is a history of SCOTUS not making big rulings against a newly elected President but waiting until spring to decide the cases but that doesn't necessarily mean losses for Trump.

How do you think these five go for Trump?

1. Tariffs
2. Birthright citizenship
3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)


I predict Trump will:

1. Lose 3-6
2. Lose 3-6
3. Lose 4-5
4. Win 6-3
5. Win 5-4

1. They will punt and tell congress to clean it up
2. This is a loser, and all the more reason for a Constitutional Convention
3. There are no independent federal agencies if they are part of the executive branch. Only ones with direct Constitutional mandate like the post office and the Fed can even try to claim it.
4. Win
5. Not in by election day, **** off.
 
I'll be haunting ScotusBlog in June, looks like.

I'm most interested in the Birthright Citizenship and Lisa Cook firing. I think Trump should win both....I can't think of another nation that has BC like we do, where you just drop a baby in the nation and that child is automatically a citizen. Second, if the Executive Branch does not have final say over the bureaucracies, then who should?

(Here's an idea....we need fewer bureaucracies)
The 14th Amendment is a high hurdle.
Yes it was never intended for what is going on today.
But, nobody saw what was coming and didn't word it properly.
 
1. Tariffs
Trump wins. SCOTUS will say Congress gave him the authority and can take it back.

2. Birthright citizenship
Loses. This is very settled, and there is nor meritorious argument against it. Plus it opens up a Pandora's Box as legally the vast majority of the US cannot then prove they are citizens.

3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
Trump wins. SCOTUS will say its the purview of the executive as they are strongly in favor of an El Supremo Executive.

4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)
I don't know enough about these cases.
 
I think Trump wins all 5. I will explain why if you ask me.
 
Personally, I'd love to see 1, 2 and 5 go Trump's way. Why? For the good of the country. But who really knows what some of these gutless judges will do.
 
There are five important Supreme Court cases that were delayed until spring for a ruling. There is a history of SCOTUS not making big rulings against a newly elected President but waiting until spring to decide the cases but that doesn't necessarily mean losses for Trump.

How do you think these five go for Trump?

1. Tariffs
2. Birthright citizenship
3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)


I predict Trump will:

1. Lose 3-6
2. Lose 3-6
3. Lose 4-5
4. Win 6-3
5. Win 5-4
I hope Trump wins all five but I'm not making any bets. We won't find out any until the end of June.

1. Presidents have imposed tariffs before Trump, as recently as Biden. So, the precedent is already set. If Congress wants to change that then they will have to change it.

2. This one is a crapshoot. It was clear the intention had to do with blacks and slavery and it is the Supreme Court's job to decide what they think the intent was. This is a must win in that the status quo has been a disaster for this country. People shouldn't be allowed to come here illegally so they can have a child born in the US, followed by the illegal family members being welcomed along with the baby "citizen".

3. A president should be able to have his own people working under him, instead of against him.

4. No one should be allowed into this country until they have actually been granted asylum, not just applying for it and waiting months or years for the decision. By then many of the people have disappeared into the country. If you cross the border illegally then you are an illegal, not an asylum seeker.

5. Election day is election day, period. You don't count any votes received after the polls have closed.
 
There are five important Supreme Court cases that were delayed until spring for a ruling. There is a history of SCOTUS not making big rulings against a newly elected President but waiting until spring to decide the cases but that doesn't necessarily mean losses for Trump.

How do you think these five go for Trump?

1. Tariffs
2. Birthright citizenship
3. Agency Independence (Lisa Cook firing)
4. Asylum Metering (physically keeping asylum applicants out)
5. Mail-in Ballot Legitimacy (postmarked but not arrived)


I predict Trump will:

1. Lose 3-6
2. Lose 3-6
3. Lose 4-5
4. Win 6-3
5. Win 5-4
Win tariffs
Lose birthright citizenship because it's a wedge issue they use
Agency Independence he will lose
Win
Win
 
Trump wins. SCOTUS will say Congress gave him the authority and can take it back.
They gave him Emergency power. The argument is that this is not an emergency and if congress wanted carte blanche power ceded they would have done so
Loses. This is very settled, and there is nor meritorious argument against it. Plus it opens up a Pandora's Box as legally the vast majority of the US cannot then prove they are citizens.
Agree
Trump wins. SCOTUS will say its the purview of the executive as they are strongly in favor of an El Supremo Executive.
Maybe. i hope not.
I don't know enough about these cases.
 
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Personally, I'd love to see 1, 2 and 5 go Trump's way. Why? For the good of the country. But who really knows what some of these gutless judges will do.
Wouldnt you agree that the gutful thing to do would be to go with the law and the gutless thing to do would go with politics? 1 & 2 are pretty clearly against the law as it is written. The judges just ruled that the judicial system not the executive has the power to determine what is in accordance with the law.
 
15th post
I hope Trump wins all five but I'm not making any bets. We won't find out any until the end of June.

1. Presidents have imposed tariffs before Trump, as recently as Biden. So, the precedent is already set. If Congress wants to change that then they will have to change it.
In 2022, Biden invoked a narrow emergency authority under the Tariff Act of 1930 to waive potential antidumping and countervailing duties on certain solar imports (solar cells and modules from Southeast Asia) for a defined period, citing threats to supply reliability as the rationale. It wasn't blanket tariffs.
2. This one is a crapshoot. It was clear the intention had to do with blacks and slavery and it is the Supreme Court's job to decide what they think the intent was. This is a must win in that the status quo has been a disaster for this country. People shouldn't be allowed to come here illegally so they can have a child born in the US, followed by the illegal family members being welcomed along with the baby "citizen".
It is what it is. I think its pretty clear that you'd have to amend the constitution.
3. A president should be able to have his own people working under him, instead of against him.
Congress set up the Federal Reserve and approves it, not the president. They set it up to be independent.
4. No one should be allowed into this country until they have actually been granted asylum, not just applying for it and waiting months or years for the decision. By then many of the people have disappeared into the country. If you cross the border illegally then you are an illegal, not an asylum seeker.
This one is tricky. Your commentary would require breaking the law because it is on the books allowing asylum claims for ANYONE physically present. The question at hand is can people be get that right AT the gate vs THROUGH the gate. I think they'll say THROUGH the gate like Trump wants.
5. Election day is election day, period. You don't count any votes received after the polls have closed.
This leads to corruption. What if the postmaster refuses to deliver mail from a zip code to polling stations until after the election for postmarked letters? Ensuring they are mailed takes the corruption factor out.
 
They gave him Emergency power. They argument is that this is not an emergency and if congress wanted carte blanche power ceded they would have done so
I agree, however I am not SCOTUS. Mark my words, they will say Congress can take back the authorization.
 
In 2022, Biden invoked a narrow emergency authority under the Tariff Act of 1930 to waive potential antidumping and countervailing duties on certain solar imports (solar cells and modules from Southeast Asia) for a defined period, citing threats to supply reliability as the rationale. It wasn't blanket tariffs.

It is what it is. I think its pretty clear that you'd have to amend the constitution.

Congress set up the Federal Reserve and approves it, not the president. They set it up to be independent.

This one is tricky. Your commentary would require breaking the law because it is on the books allowing asylum claims for ANYONE physically present. The question at hand is can people be get that right AT the gate vs THROUGH the gate. I think they'll say THROUGH the gate like Trump wants.

This leads to corruption. What if the postmaster refuses to deliver mail from a zip code to polling stations until after the election for postmarked letters? Ensuring they are mailed takes the corruption factor out.
1. LOL. Tariffs are tariffs. You can either do them or not. There is no "narrow".

2. You don't have to ammend the Constitution. The Supreme Court's job is to decide the "intent" of the Consitution. Deciding the intent doesn't require ammending it.

3. LOL again. Only a fool thinks the Fed is "independent". Surely Biden's appointees weren't "independent". Janet Yellen was nothing but a democrat lap dog.

4. Your answer flies in the face of common sense. Crossing the border illegally is illegal and yet democrats try claiming that you can cross the border illegally and then claim asylum, somehow nullifying the fact that you illegally entered the US. Theoretically, every single person crossing illegally could then claim asylum and then no one at any time would ever be crossing illegally. There would be no such thing as an illegal crossing, even though crossing the border illegally is illegal.

5. Your argument is stupid. What if the postmaster refuses to deliver mail from a zip code to polling stations for months or years or even ever at all? How long do we wait? If there is a time frame required for how long we wait then there is no reason why we can't just make that time frame election day. If you want to make sure your vote is actually counted, the best way to do that is to go vote in person and not by mail. You guys are always stating that every vote should count and yet more votes go uncounted when they are mailed than by any other method, for a variety of reasons.
 
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