Dems Still Leading GOP in Nevada Early Voter Turnout

AnCap'n_Murica

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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
 
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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.
 

Jroc

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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.

Wrong assumption..i don't see the point of starting multiple threads on pretty much the same subject:eusa_eh:
 
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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.

Wrong assumption..i don't see the point of starting multiple threads on pretty much the same subject:eusa_eh:
What's wrong about it?
 

Jroc

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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.

Wrong assumption..i don't see the point of starting multiple threads on pretty much the same subject:eusa_eh:
What's wrong about it?
There's lots of crossover voting...voter affiliation doesn't mean anything
 

Fenton Lum

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Take "other" and back out the paltry couple percentage points going to Stein and Johnson.

Looks a lot closer.
The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.

Wrong assumption..i don't see the point of starting multiple threads on pretty much the same subject:eusa_eh:
What's wrong about it?
There's lots of crossover voting...voter affiliation doesn't mean anything
Neither do these mental masturbation / idle speculation exercises. Give it a few days, it's Tuesday after all.
 

AnCap'n_Murica

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The "Other" voters are independent or third party registered voters. Assuming all the Dems are voting Clinton and all the GOP are voting Trump, Trump would need to be winning around 61 or 62% of those "Other" voters in order to be tied with Clinton. I doubt that's happening.
History shows that the indy vote usually breaks to the challenger. Usually.

That also doesn't count the crossover, which is fairly safe to assume that it's breaking more to the challenger.

Presuming those norms (an iffy proposition in this particular cycle) it's closer than apparent at first blush.
 

mamooth

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Polls show the crossover voting helping the Democrats this year. It's not nearly as close as it the media wants you to believe. They just pretend that, because a horse race improves their ratings. It's going to be an easy Clinton win in Nevada, and nationwide.
 

ScienceRocks

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KTNV (ABC Las Vegas Channel 13 "Action News") Blog: "Early voting kills Trump in NV"
Early voting kills Trump in NV

EARLY VOTING BLOG: Early voting kills Trump in NV
----The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall -- approaching 73,000 ballots -- greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points -- right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.

----The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 -- slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That's 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.

----The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.

----Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in -- close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
nevada is safe clinton country!!!!
 

Lakhota

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KTNV (ABC Las Vegas Channel 13 "Action News") Blog: "Early voting kills Trump in NV"
Early voting kills Trump in NV

EARLY VOTING BLOG: Early voting kills Trump in NV
----The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall -- approaching 73,000 ballots -- greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points -- right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.

----The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 -- slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That's 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.

----The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.

----Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in -- close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
nevada is safe clinton country!!!!
Thank you! Great news!
 

WillHaftawaite

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KTNV (ABC Las Vegas Channel 13 "Action News") Blog: "Early voting kills Trump in NV"
Early voting kills Trump in NV

EARLY VOTING BLOG: Early voting kills Trump in NV
----The Democrats won Clark County by more than 11,000 votes Friday (final mail count not posted yet), a record margin on a record-setting turnout day of 57,000 voters. The Dems now have a firewall -- approaching 73,000 ballots -- greater than 2012 when Barack Obama won the state by nearly 7 points. The 71,000 of 2012 was slightly higher in percentage terms, but raw votes matter. The lead is 14 percentage points -- right at registration. You know what else matters? Registration advantages (142,000 in Clark). Reminder: When the Clark votes were counted from early/mail voting in 2012, Obama had a 69,000 vote lead in Clark County. Game over.

----The statewide lead (some rurals not posted) will be above 45,000 -- slightly under the 48,000 of 2012, but still robust. That's 6 percentage points, or right about at registration. The GOP turnout advantage was under a percent, worse than 2012 when it was 1.1 percent.

----The Dems eked out a 200-vote win in Washoe and lead there by 1,000 votes. It was even in 2012. The rural lead, before the stragglers come in, is 27,500. It probably will get above 28,000.

----Total turnout without those rurals: 768,000, or 52.5 percent. If overall turnout ends up being 80 percent, that means two thirds of the vote is in -- close to 2012. Republicans would have to not only win Election Day by close to double digits to turn around the lead Hillary Clinton almost surely has in early voting, but they would have to astronomically boost turnout. The goal for the Dems during early voting was to bank votes and to boost turnout as high as possible to minimize the number of votes left on Election Day to affect races. Folks, the Reid Machine went out with a bang.
nevada is safe clinton country!!!!

So far.

NOt really safe til ALL the votes are counted
 

SassyIrishLass

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Nevada has voted in Harry Reid for what, centuries? That's telling
 

Tipsycatlover

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Nevada has voted in Harry Reid for what, centuries? That's telling
Harry Reid for all of his illegalities brought home the bacon for Nevada. He used the state to benefit his buddies to the tune of millions and the buddies donated a few thousand here and there to the cause.
 

SassyIrishLass

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Nevada has voted in Harry Reid for what, centuries? That's telling
Harry Reid for all of his illegalities brought home the bacon for Nevada. He used the state to benefit his buddies to the tune of millions and the buddies donated a few thousand here and there to the cause.
Harry Reid defines the need for term limits
 

Rozman

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Watch the republicans push lawsuits against early voting in the future...
Stop early voting...
Cut the number of polling places
Cut the hours of the available polling places....
Have plenty of "official poll watchers" in place to pull people out of lines and question them....

The goal is to make America great again the way God intended...

Trumpism....

Now and forever.
 

JimH52

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If Clinton can hold onto Mich., Penn, and her firewall, Nevada is icing on her cake.

Madame President it will be!
 

JimH52

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Watch the republicans push lawsuits against early voting in the future...
Stop early voting...
Cut the number of polling places
Cut the hours of the available polling places....
Have plenty of "official poll watchers" in place to pull people out of lines and question them....

The goal is to make America great again the way God intended...

Trumpism....

Now and forever.
Yup, they will pull some more voter suppression moves. Even Comrade T agrees that this is their last chance at the Presidency.....and his racist comments made sure they are a white party.
 

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