Democrats are hiding the rise in violent crime with tricky statistics

[excalibur]

Biden, the Dems, and the MSM all lying? Shocked I am.

Not.

Hypocrisy and lies is all they have.

People know that crime is worse under Biden, same as Bidenflation is a fact.

“Make no mistake, violent crime was up under Donald Trump,” Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz warned in his first speech as Kamala Harris’ running mate.

“If you look this up at home,” Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg claimed last month, “you will know that crime went down under Biden and crime went up under Trump. Why would America want to go back to the higher crime we experienced under Donald Trump?”
...

Of course, news outlets routinely assert that Americans are mistaken in believing that violent crime is rising.

On Monday, Axios had a typical headline: “New data shows violent crime dropping sharply in major U.S. cities.”

Or from NPR earlier this year: “Violent crime is dropping fast in the US — even if Americans don’t believe it.”

But Democrats and the media don’t understand the difference between the number of crimes reported to police and the total number of crimes.

...

We know that crime victims report only about 40% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes to police.

Prior to 2020, the FBI and NCVS numbers generally moved together.

But every year from 2020 onward, these figures have moved in opposite directions.

For instance, in 2022, the FBI reported a 2.1% drop in violent crime, but the NCVS showed an alarming increase of 42.4%https://crimeresearch.org/2024/04/t...eople-have-been-less-willing-to-report-crime/ — the largest one-year percentage increase in violent crime ever reported by that measure.

Part of the reason is that law enforcement in the United States has collapsed.

...

In 2022, in cities with more than a million people, only 8% of all violent crimes (reported and unreported) and 1% of all property crimes resulted in an arrest — and of course, not all those arrests resulted in charges, let alone prosecutions or convictions.

“It has gotten to the point where people aren’t even bothering reporting crime because they don’t think anything is going to happen,” Elon Musk correctly noted in his Monday night discussion with former President Trump.

Police departments have lost many effective officers through retirements since the pandemic. Some police forces are demoralized because the criminals they arrest are immediately released.

...​

Democrats are hiding the rise in violent crime with tricky statistics

They and the media don’t understand the difference between the number of crimes reported to police and the total number of crimes.

nypost.com

Compounding the problem is that fewer than half of all police departments are providing complete crime data to the FBI since its reporting system changed in 2021.

​

 

[Crepitus]

Biden, the Dems, and the MSM all lying? Shocked I am.

Not.

Hypocrisy and lies is all they have.

People know that crime is worse under Biden, same as Bidenflation is a fact.

​

“Make no mistake, violent crime was up under Donald Trump,” Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz warned in his first speech as Kamala Harris’ running mate.​

​

“If you look this up at home,” Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg claimed last month, “you will know that crime went down under Biden and crime went up under Trump. Why would America want to go back to the higher crime we experienced under Donald Trump?”​

...​

​

Of course, news outlets routinely assert that Americans are mistaken in believing that violent crime is rising.​

​

On Monday, Axios had a typical headline: “New data shows violent crime dropping sharply in major U.S. cities.”​

​

Or from NPR earlier this year: “Violent crime is dropping fast in the US — even if Americans don’t believe it.”​

​

But Democrats and the media don’t understand the difference between the number of crimes reported to police and the total number of crimes.​

​

...​

​

We know that crime victims report only about 40% of violent crimes and 30% of property crimes to police.​

​

Prior to 2020, the FBI and NCVS numbers generally moved together.​

​

But every year from 2020 onward, these figures have moved in opposite directions.​

​

For instance, in 2022, the FBI reported a 2.1% drop in violent crime, but the NCVS showed an alarming increase of 42.4%https://crimeresearch.org/2024/04/t...eople-have-been-less-willing-to-report-crime/ — the largest one-year percentage increase in violent crime ever reported by that measure.​

​

Part of the reason is that law enforcement in the United States has collapsed.​

​

...​

​

In 2022, in cities with more than a million people, only 8% of all violent crimes (reported and unreported) and 1% of all property crimes resulted in an arrest — and of course, not all those arrests resulted in charges, let alone prosecutions or convictions.​

​

“It has gotten to the point where people aren’t even bothering reporting crime because they don’t think anything is going to happen,” Elon Musk correctly noted in his Monday night discussion with former President Trump.​

​

Police departments have lost many effective officers through retirements since the pandemic. Some police forces are demoralized because the criminals they arrest are immediately released.​

​

...​

Democrats are hiding the rise in violent crime with tricky statistics

They and the media don’t understand the difference between the number of crimes reported to police and the total number of crimes.

nypost.com

Compounding the problem is that fewer than half of all police departments are providing complete crime data to the FBI since its reporting system changed in 2021.

​

Somebody is butt hurt and trying to obfuscate the fact the Joe Bide outdid tRump in every way that matters, including bringing crime down.

 

[DukeU]

Somebody is butt hurt and trying to obfuscate the fact the Joe Bide outdid tRump in every way that matters, including bringing crime down.

democrats lying and hiding again, what's new?!?

Bad data from the FBI mislead about crime - Washington Examiner​

Part of the problem is how police departments report offenses to the FBI. The FBI asked, then demanded, that law enforcement agencies “transition” away from the system they used for decades to a new, more detailed but onerous one. The 2021 mandate to use NIBRS to submit crime data proved a disaster as overstretched departments, especially in large cities, failed to reach compliance and thus did not submit data.

In 2019, 89% of agencies covering 97% of the population submitted data, but by 2021, that coverage plummeted to less than 63% of departments overseeing just 65% of the population. Chicago, Los Angeles, and New York City all failed to submit crime data. To increase participation, the FBI relaxed the NIBRS requirement in 2022, allowing agencies to report via the legacy system.

But many other cities, such as St. Louis, which had transitioned to the new method, still struggle to comply and submit partial or faulty data. The FBI compensates by relying more heavily on “estimation,” or informed guesswork, to fill in the gaps and produce aggregated data.