Seems like you have a concept and are hell bent on making the facts fit it. I say this because you use some information and ignore other info.
Correlation does not imply causality. Clinton raised taxes and it raised our revenues. Here's a nice government paper on the tax cuts. I direct your attention to page 2, where it has a nice chart of
revenue lost due to the tax cuts.
http://digital.library.unt.edu/govd...df?PHPSESSID=863ec332a2468c40be531653901351e5 .
The chart is guesswork, as the paper itself states. You state it as though its a factual chart based on past economic data.
Correlation CAN imply causality. Especially in economics more than social behavior of people. When the effects are repeated many times over a long period of time, then you have to assume the one common denominator in all of the scenarios is the cause, or part of. Certainly it proves that the chances of the tax cuts cutting revenues is far fetched at best.
Regarding the clintion increases, I didnt say that revenue increases occur ONLY after tax cuts.
Wrong, the positive effects of the tax cuts are supposed to happen in the first five years after they are enacted. There are negative effects in the long run since tax cuts reduce savings. .
????thats what I said. It takes a year or two or more for it to become effective, I DIDNT say it takes more than five years.
Long term reduction is PURE SPECULATION. I read the study and it is MAJOR flawed. For example, it states that long term investment is reduced unless...then it states two ways to increase investment, of which one is foreign borrowing. That, it states, proves long term investment will decline... ????????? WTF???, are they saying foreign borrowing cant happen? It might be a negative as far as they are concerned because it increases the trade deficit (but some disagree), but it doesnt mean it cant happen.
I never said anywhere that the debt was 30k. I pointed out that some people were assuming they would only have to pay back 25k, when in fact they would have to pay back more than 25k with interest..
Actuallly, the term you used was "it", and it could be read either way, as referring to the actual amount of the debt to pay back, or the debt plus interest. Problem is mostly with the sentence previoius to that one, same post by you. Someone stated that 25K per person isnt that much a burden, then you supposedly refute that by saying the debt wont remain at 25K.
YOu are creating another scenario when you bring in the additional debt incurred. The person stated that the ACTUAL amount of 25K isnt that big a deal, to refute someone who said it is. He DIDNT say, the amount, plus future amounts (which is what you used to make your claim that it is indeed troublesome) arent troublesome.
Its like someone saying, we are down by 2 runs and five innings left to play, we can make that up without much of a problem, then you say, yea, but they will score more runs in the next five innings too, so it will be hard to make it up. Yours is mere speculation, the others statement is based on facts.
To get a surplus right now you would have to lop off all spending to the DoD. Somehow I doubt cutting funding is as easy as you think.
Cutting spending is quite simple. I have run a number of businesses, succesfully, and all you do is cut the amount of checks. The agencies (the ones that would remain) have to figure out how to accomplish the work with the amount of money. If it doesnt get done effeciently, then fire the people making the decisions. IT WORKS, I know from experience.
Even your own study states increases in revenue will occur in the short run. TO then say it will lower them in the long run is MAJOR SPECULATION at best.