Consumer confidence beats expectations for July.

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More winning for Trump and America.

More losing for the Democrats party.

What isn’t beating expectations when it comes to the economy?


Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Jumps on Rising Hopes for Jobs and Business Conditions​

23
TURNBERRY, SCOTLAND - JULY 28: U.S. President Donald Trump reacts as he meets British Prim
Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
JOHN CARNEY29 Jul 202558
3:13
Consumer sentiment rose more than expected in July, as Americans expressed increased optimism about future economic conditions and labor market prospects, according to new data from the Conference Board.


The Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 97.2 this month, up from a revised 95.2 in June. Economists had forecast a reading of 95.8. The rise was driven by improving expectations for business conditions, employment, and income, particularly among adults over the age of thirty-five and across nearly all income groups.

The Expectations Index rose to 74.4 in July from 69.9 in the previous month. While still below the level of 80 that the Conference Board associates with recession risk, July marked the highest reading since January and the second consecutive monthly increase. According to the report, “all three components of the Expectation Index improved,” with fewer consumers expecting business and labor conditions to worsen and more anticipating income gains.

 
More winning for Trump and America.

More losing for the Democrats party.

What isn’t beating expectations when it comes to the economy?


Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Jumps on Rising Hopes for Jobs and Business Conditions​

23
TURNBERRY, SCOTLAND - JULY 28: U.S. President Donald Trump reacts as he meets British Prim
Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
JOHN CARNEY29 Jul 202558
3:13
Consumer sentiment rose more than expected in July, as Americans expressed increased optimism about future economic conditions and labor market prospects, according to new data from the Conference Board.


The Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 97.2 this month, up from a revised 95.2 in June. Economists had forecast a reading of 95.8. The rise was driven by improving expectations for business conditions, employment, and income, particularly among adults over the age of thirty-five and across nearly all income groups.

The Expectations Index rose to 74.4 in July from 69.9 in the previous month. While still below the level of 80 that the Conference Board associates with recession risk, July marked the highest reading since January and the second consecutive monthly increase. According to the report, “all three components of the Expectation Index improved,” with fewer consumers expecting business and labor conditions to worsen and more anticipating income gains.

July is not over
 
Slow that roll. From the actual report:
The Expectations Index—based on consumers’ short-term outlook for income, business, and labor market conditions—rose 4.5 points to 74.4. But expectations remained below the threshold of 80 that typically signals a recession ahead for the sixth consecutive month. The cutoff date for preliminary results was July 20, 2025.
 
More winning for Trump and America.

More losing for the Democrats party.

What isn’t beating expectations when it comes to the economy?


Consumer Confidence Unexpectedly Jumps on Rising Hopes for Jobs and Business Conditions​

23
TURNBERRY, SCOTLAND - JULY 28: U.S. President Donald Trump reacts as he meets British Prim
Photo by Andrew Harnik/Getty Images
JOHN CARNEY29 Jul 202558
3:13
Consumer sentiment rose more than expected in July, as Americans expressed increased optimism about future economic conditions and labor market prospects, according to new data from the Conference Board.


The Consumer Confidence Index climbed to 97.2 this month, up from a revised 95.2 in June. Economists had forecast a reading of 95.8. The rise was driven by improving expectations for business conditions, employment, and income, particularly among adults over the age of thirty-five and across nearly all income groups.

The Expectations Index rose to 74.4 in July from 69.9 in the previous month. While still below the level of 80 that the Conference Board associates with recession risk, July marked the highest reading since January and the second consecutive monthly increase. According to the report, “all three components of the Expectation Index improved,” with fewer consumers expecting business and labor conditions to worsen and more anticipating income gains.

But but but orange man bad.
 

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