A chinaman is producing porcelain, paper, and gun powda.
I am making this up here. Just for sample.
Donald Trump is like, 1000% tariff on all porcelain from China.
Mr. Ching Chong then sell porcelain to Harambe in Mexico, that then sell it to Jim Smith in Texas.
Problem solved.
0% Tariff.
If anything, the only thing Donald Trump did is giving money to traders.
T
hat sounds reasonable except that is not how tariffs work. The amount of the tariff is determined by the point of origin and the type goods. The country of origin is were the goods were produced. If Harambe in Mexico sells the goods unchanged to Jim Smith in Texas, the country of origin is still China, not Mexico and Jim Smith will pay the US tariff less any tariff Harambe paid to the Mexican government.
The only way to legally reduce the money paid to the US goverment would be for Harambe to add substantial value to the goods. Then the country of origin would change to Mexico.
I understand. However, things like "substantial value" is very open to interpretation. I think it can be "gamed". How easily I don't know.
In fact, one US factory is closed because it imports stuffs from China and then relabel it, and claim it's made in USA. Somehow that fails.
Another thing that would work is for Chinese companies to have a bunch of different factories in many part of the world.
For example, with the tariff, any consumers of soy bean in Mexico will be able to buy American soybeans. The american soybeans will be cheaper because american can't sell it to china. Then the mexican will sell their soybeans to china while importing tons of american soybeans.
I think xiaomi phone will be the same. Say china have factories in India. The factory in India will export to US. The factory in China will export everywhere else.
There are just so many ways to do these things.
I think the key for Donald's game is the surprise factor. If from the beginning Donald do that, the market will adapt and very little will be done. It's because suddenly Donald prohibits intel to sell anything to ZTE then the chinese are in deep shit. But I think as a nation they will recover and will stop buying stuffs from USA.
Which will have the opposite effect. But this is a bit different than trade war. ZTE cannot buy stuffs because they do bizs with Iran.