Oh i know plenty. That's why i know how many of you think. Y'all just love Big Government intervention in business if you think it will benefit you. But God forbid the struggling worker catches a break every now & then.
Anyway, the thread is B.S. Businesses are not closing all over Seattle due to higher wages. That's just greedy wanker 'Sky is Falling' Bullshite. They'll deal with it and pay their workers a little more. Life will go on.
Give me an example of big government in business that I love. You're talking out of your ass.
The Rumpus Over Seattle s 15 Minimum Wage And Restaurant Closures - Forbes
Think through a numerical example for a moment. A simplified one (but these numbers are not far off the basic economics of the restaurant trade). One third of revenues go on rent, one third on paying the workers and one third on paying for the food and booze that is prepared and served. Excellent: so, we raise wages by $100 (we can consider one sole restaurant where all those wages get spent at that restaurant, or all places in the city together, makes no difference here) and all of that money is then spent back into the same system. If the only cost was wages then it would be a wash. But wages aren’t the only cost. Let’s assume that rent doesn’t change but there’s still those food costs. Out of that $100 in extra spending $35 has to go off to buy the food. So, the restaurant (or restaurants in aggregate) now has an extra $65 in gross margin but they’ve got an extra wage bill of $100. This is not known as being a profitable thing to do. In fact, this would be generally known as “making a loss” on the deal.
A couple of people asked why we’re worrying about the effects on the restaurant industry? It’s not exactly all that important is it? The reason we do so is because the restaurant industry employs something like half of all the people who do get the minimum wage. We don’t go looking for minimum wage effects among Silicon Valley engineers because the minimum wage simply isn’t a binding constraint upon them: it has no relevance whatever for their job prospects or pay. It does have some relevance for the industry which is the major employer of minimum wage labour: that’s why we go and look there.
Several made the point that the wage rise hasn’t happened yet so how could it be affecting anything now? The answer being that business people (at least those who stay in business tend to) have things called “budgets”, even “business plans”. These are attempts to peer into the future and work out the implications of changes we know are coming. Thus if such a budget shows that labour will cost more in the future at least experimentation on labour light production methods will start now. Precisely because people do attempt to divine the future then future price changes alter behaviour now.
And finally, let me once again draw attention to what the
prediction is:
Please do note though what is the prediction. Not that there’s going to be a wiping out of employment opportunities, nor that the economy of Seattle is going to become a howling wasteland. Rather, that less human labor will be employed at $15 an hour than would have been employed if the minimum wage had not risen to that amount.
Please note, even Jared Bernstein agrees with this point. It is not controversial in the slightest.