Biden Has To Win By About 3.25%

[Independent thinker]

in order to have a 50/50 shot at becoming president over Trump, assuming they are both the nominees. I did some research and some fuzzy math, which I admit is filled with many variables, and came to this conclusion. It simplifies down to this:

Hillary beat Trump in 2016 by 2.1% and lost the electoral vote 306-232.

Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 4.4% and won the electoral vote 306-232.

So, in order to have an electoral count of 269-269 Biden would have to beat Trump by 3.25%. Anything less than that and Trump probably wins the electoral vote.

The latest poll I saw showed Trump up by 1% over Biden. Anyway, due to how the electoral college seems to benefit Republicans more, Biden would have to win the popular vote over Trump by about 3.25% just in order to have an electoral tie. Of course it goes state by state so this is an oversimplification but even those on the left should know that it takes more to win the presidency than just the popular vote.

 

[Dogmaphobe]

Actually, Biden has to lose by over 20 percent to lose to Trump.

 

[mamooth]

Given the magnitude of Republican cheating, Biden probably needs a little more.

Not that he'll have any trouble getting it, given how much the nation hates Trump. 2024 will be a blue wave year.

 

[HereWeGoAgain]

Given the magnitude of Republican cheating, Biden probably needs a little more.

Not that he'll have any trouble getting it, given how much the nation hates Trump. 2024 will be a blue wave year.

What cheating would that be?

 

[mamooth]

What cheating would that be?

Vote suppression, gerrymandering, authorizing state legislatures to overturn elections, corrupt election officials, and fake voting by MAGA cultists.

 

[Augustine_]

in order to have a 50/50 shot at becoming president over Trump, assuming they are both the nominees. I did some research and some fuzzy math, which I admit is filled with many variables, and came to this conclusion. It simplifies down to this:

Hillary beat Trump in 2016 by 2.1% and lost the electoral vote 306-232.

Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 4.4% and won the electoral vote 306-232.

So, in order to have an electoral count of 269-269 Biden would have to beat Trump by 3.25%. Anything less than that and Trump probably wins the electoral vote.

The latest poll I saw showed Trump up by 1% over Biden. Anyway, due to how the electoral college seems to benefit Republicans more, Biden would have to win the popular vote over Trump by about 3.25% just in order to have an electoral tie. Of course it goes state by state so this is an oversimplification but even those on the left should know that it takes more to win the presidency than just the popular vote.

If the GOP makes Trump President while losing the popular vote by millions again, things are going to get really bad. The only party trying to continue our system of government, Democrats, will stop doing so.

 

[hadit]

Given the magnitude of Republican cheating, Biden probably needs a little more.

Not that he'll have any trouble getting it, given how much the nation hates Trump. 2024 will be a blue wave year.

Impossible. The 2020 election was the most secure and cheat free in our nation's history. At least, that's what I've been told every time someone asks a question about irregularities that popped up.

 

[HereWeGoAgain]

Vote suppression, gerrymandering, authorizing state legislatures to overturn elections, corrupt election officials, and fake voting by MAGA cultists.

Well thats strange.....
If this were true the left would have gone after Trump. We know this because they go after Trump with shit that never happened.

 

[d0gbreath]

Many Trump supporters have left the building. He had a better shot at reelection in '20 than he'll ever have in the future.

 

[Independent thinker]

If the GOP makes Trump President while losing the popular vote by millions again, things are going to get really bad. The only party trying to continue our system of government, Democrats, will stop doing so.

LOL. Seriously? You mean democrats will do an insurrection? That's not news. They've already been doing that through their abuse of power for years. So, you're saying that insurrections are actually a good thing? Have you changed your mind all of a sudden?

 

[BackAgain]

in order to have a 50/50 shot at becoming president over Trump, assuming they are both the nominees. I did some research and some fuzzy math, which I admit is filled with many variables, and came to this conclusion. It simplifies down to this:

Hillary beat Trump in 2016 by 2.1% and lost the electoral vote 306-232.

Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 4.4% and won the electoral vote 306-232.

So, in order to have an electoral count of 269-269 Biden would have to beat Trump by 3.25%. Anything less than that and Trump probably wins the electoral vote.

The latest poll I saw showed Trump up by 1% over Biden. Anyway, due to how the electoral college seems to benefit Republicans more, Biden would have to win the popular vote over Trump by about 3.25% just in order to have an electoral tie. Of course it goes state by state so this is an oversimplification but even those on the left should know that it takes more to win the presidency than just the popular vote.

Lol. Nobody taught it to Shrillary.

 

[Independent thinker]

Given the magnitude of Republican cheating, Biden probably needs a little more.

Not that he'll have any trouble getting it, given how much the nation hates Trump. 2024 will be a blue wave year.

Republican cheating? That's a new one.

 

[Augustine_]

They've already been doing that through their abuse of power for years.

Aw your little crybaby, snowflake self made something up to make yourself feel better

 

[Carl in Michigan]

Given the magnitude of Republican cheating, Biden probably needs a little more

Nice fantasy. Try to come up with something original

 

[hadit]

Nice fantasy. Try to come up with something original

Let's do a thought experiment. In the wee hours of the morning after election day, multiple vote counting locations shut down with some excuse or other with Quid Pro Joe solidly in the lead. A few hours later, they reopen and immediately TRUMP! shoots into the lead and never looks back. When questioned, the vote counters explain that they found a large cache of ballots that were 100% marked for TRUMP!.

What is the response of those who have been complaining about Republican cheating? Go.

 

[candycorn]

in order to have a 50/50 shot at becoming president over Trump, assuming they are both the nominees. I did some research and some fuzzy math, which I admit is filled with many variables, and came to this conclusion. It simplifies down to this:

Hillary beat Trump in 2016 by 2.1% and lost the electoral vote 306-232.

Biden beat Trump in 2020 by 4.4% and won the electoral vote 306-232.

So, in order to have an electoral count of 269-269 Biden would have to beat Trump by 3.25%. Anything less than that and Trump probably wins the electoral vote.

The latest poll I saw showed Trump up by 1% over Biden. Anyway, due to how the electoral college seems to benefit Republicans more, Biden would have to win the popular vote over Trump by about 3.25% just in order to have an electoral tie. Of course it goes state by state so this is an oversimplification but even those on the left should know that it takes more to win the presidency than just the popular vote.

Trump didn’t get 306 electoral votes

 

[candycorn]

Harris can just void the election.

 

[Independent thinker]

Aw your little crybaby, snowflake self made something up to make yourself feel better

So, you don't agree that the electoral college favors Republicans, therefore, demos need more popular votes in order to keep up? I guess that means you're fine with the electoral college then.

 

[Independent thinker]

Trump didn’t get 306 electoral votes

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/2016/results/president

 

[hadit]

Harris can just void the election.

I wouldn't be surprised if she tried to.