As a stock market trader - One good thing about Trump being elected president

Luckyone

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i have been a stock market trader for 47 years. Mind you, I am talking about trading and not about investing (buy and hold) in the market.

The big traders (among them hedge funds) are traders and 70% of that trading is done through Computers and Algorithms that are strongly based on chart support and resistance levels that when reached, automatically buying (at support) and selling (at resistance) occurs.

Nonetheless, one of the big keys needed in this scenario is volatility, given that with high volatility these support and resistance levels are seen often, making "trading" very profitable.

How is this a factor in 2025? The election of Trump as the president for the next 4 years is going to bring high volatility as his approach to governing is on the extreme and that causes strong movement in a direction; By the same token, the extreme measures bring big moves when the benefits are seen but also bring big moves in the opposite direction when the consequences are seen. Adding to all of this is the fact that Trump has proven to be incompetent and that will bring the extremes to be seen a lot more often.

From that perspective and as a trader that I am (I go long and I go short), I do expect 2025 (and perhaps for the next 4 years) to be highly profitable.

Here are 2 videos to celebrate the plus of this election



 
One positive aspect of Donald Trump's election as president in 2024 is the anticipated boost in corporate earnings due to proposed tax cuts. Analysts predict that lowering the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% could increase S&P 500 earnings by approximately 4% over current estimates, reflecting a favorable environment for investors[2][3]. Additionally, the resolution of political uncertainty following a decisive election outcome has historically led to strong market performance, with the S&P 500 projected to rise significantly in the coming year[1][2].

sources:
[1] How Trump’s election is forecast to affect US stocks
[2] 2024 elections: How may the results impact my investments?
[3] Will the presidential election affect the stock market?
[4] Stock Market Under the Trump Administration | U.S. Bank
[5] Why Donald Trump’s election win fuelled a stock market surge
[6] Stock market rallies to new heights after Trump is elected. Is now the time to dive in?
[7] https://www.reuters.com/markets/whats-stake-global-markets-trump-presidency-2024-11-06/
[8] Stock market surges after Trump’s 2024 election win

Moneyocratcy.webp
 
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i have been a stock market trader for 47 years. Mind you, I am talking about trading and not about investing (buy and hold) in the market.

The big traders (among them hedge funds) are traders and 70% of that trading is done through Computers and Algorithms that are strongly based on chart support and resistance levels that when reached, automatically buying (at support) and selling (at resistance) occurs.

Nonetheless, one of the big keys needed in this scenario is volatility, given that with high volatility these support and resistance levels are seen often, making "trading" very profitable.

How is this a factor in 2025? The election of Trump as the president for the next 4 years is going to bring high volatility as his approach to governing is on the extreme and that causes strong movement in a direction; By the same token, the extreme measures bring big moves when the benefits are seen but also bring big moves in the opposite direction when the consequences are seen. Adding to all of this is the fact that Trump has proven to be incompetent and that will bring the extremes to be seen a lot more often.

From that perspective and as a trader that I am (I go long and I go short), I do expect 2025 (and perhaps for the next 4 years) to be highly profitable.

Here are 2 videos to celebrate the plus of this election




/——/ “Trump has proven to be incompetent”
Trump made $6 billion on his media company. How much have you made on your 500 companies?
 
One positive aspect of Donald Trump's election as president in 2024 is the anticipated boost in corporate earnings due to proposed tax cuts. Analysts predict that lowering the corporate tax rate from 21% to 15% could increase S&P 500 earnings by approximately 4% over current estimates, reflecting a favorable environment for investors[2][3]. Additionally, the resolution of political uncertainty following a decisive election outcome has historically led to strong market performance, with the S&P 500 projected to rise significantly in the coming year[1][2].

sources:
[1] How Trump’s election is forecast to affect US stocks
[2] 2024 elections: How may the results impact my investments?
[3] Will the presidential election affect the stock market?
[4] Stock Market Under the Trump Administration | U.S. Bank
[5] Why Donald Trump’s election win fuelled a stock market surge
[6] Stock market rallies to new heights after Trump is elected. Is now the time to dive in?
[7] https://www.reuters.com/markets/whats-stake-global-markets-trump-presidency-2024-11-06/
[8] Stock market surges after Trump’s 2024 election win

View attachment 1058816
I am well aware of what is presently thought will happen. My point (and the point that many analysts on BloombergTV have stated) is that the potential consequences have not been factored in as it is not known just how much Trump will ACTUALLY do (or able to do) and how competently it will be done.

I am on this every day for 12 hours a day, so you showing me this is useless.
 
It takes real guts to call Trump incompetent. So are you also a Billionaire?
I don't need to be a billionaire to understand competency or lack of it. To begin with, each person's life is different and with different paths taken as well as different stumbling blocks or door openings that happen.

Nonetheless and in Trump's case, it is EASY to determine his lack of competency given his very public track record of everything he has done in his life. His failures are epic (no one has ever failed as much) and his successes are equally epic as people with far less money and opportunities have accomplished much more than Trump. Perfect example is Mike Bloomberg who started with nothing and is now worth 50 times more than Trump and Trump starting with $414 and turning it into a $1.1 billion dollar "personal" debt within 15 years. In addition to these public FACTS

TrumpFailuresComp1.webp
 
I don't need to be a billionaire to understand competency or lack of it. To begin with, each person's life is different and with different paths taken as well as different stumbling blocks or door openings that happen.

Nonetheless and in Trump's case, it is EASY to determine his lack of competency given his very public track record of everything he has done in his life. His failures are epic (no one has ever failed as much) and his successes are equally epic as people with far less money and opportunities have accomplished much more than Trump. Perfect example is Mike Bloomberg who started with nothing and is now worth 50 times more than Trump and Trump starting with $414 and turning it into a $1.1 billion dollar "personal" debt within 15 years. In addition to these public FACTS
The world sees Trump as very competent. To call a builder incompetent has to mean you are better at building hotels, golf courses and 500 businesses. As far as competence, he has it by ship loads.
 
I don't need to be a billionaire to understand competency or lack of it. To begin with, each person's life is different and with different paths taken as well as different stumbling blocks or door openings that happen.

Nonetheless and in Trump's case, it is EASY to determine his lack of competency given his very public track record of everything he has done in his life. His failures are epic (no one has ever failed as much) and his successes are equally epic as people with far less money and opportunities have accomplished much more than Trump. Perfect example is Mike Bloomberg who started with nothing and is now worth 50 times more than Trump and Trump starting with $414 and turning it into a $1.1 billion dollar "personal" debt within 15 years. In addition to these public FACTS

View attachment 1058930
/—-/ Many people have made and lost fortunes only to regain them.
Besides, your meme is full of distortions and half Truths.
Trump isn’t responsible for Atlantic City failing. Many casinos went under when competing casinos opened in the north east.
Secondly, you list businesses that licensed Trumps name and image. He didn’t own them. He was paid upfront. Learn how licensing works.
You’re just an angry, bitter, resentful little man.

 
The world sees Trump as very competent. To call a builder incompetent has to mean you are better at building hotels, golf courses and 500 businesses. As far as competence, he has it by ship loads.
You make a comment like this but you fail to back up with links to data, statistics and fact.

From every research I have done, the world DOES NOT see Trump as competent. This information is from 2020 but there is nothing that Trump has done during the past 4 years that would change anyone's mind:

How people around the world see the U.S. and Donald Trump in 10 charts

Confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump is low, though not as low as it was shortly after he took office in 2017.

As has been the case in past surveys by the Center, Trump inspires much less confidence globally than his predecessor, Barack Obama, and he receives more negative marks than other current world leaders, such as Germany’s Angela Merkel. In addition, Trump’s foreign policies are deeply unpopular. Support for Trump and these policies abroad disproportionately comes from people on the ideological right and those who favor right-wing populist parties in Europe.
 
You make a comment like this but you fail to back up with links to data, statistics and fact.

From every research I have done, the world DOES NOT see Trump as competent. This information is from 2020 but there is nothing that Trump has done during the past 4 years that would change anyone's mind:

How people around the world see the U.S. and Donald Trump in 10 charts

Confidence in U.S. President Donald Trump is low, though not as low as it was shortly after he took office in 2017.

As has been the case in past surveys by the Center, Trump inspires much less confidence globally than his predecessor, Barack Obama, and he receives more negative marks than other current world leaders, such as Germany’s Angela Merkel. In addition, Trump’s foreign policies are deeply unpopular. Support for Trump and these policies abroad disproportionately comes from people on the ideological right and those who favor right-wing populist parties in Europe.
Links are for the non curious.
Actually Barack Obama proves my point. For a man of his age, by the Trump standards he is very poor. Has not accomplished nearly as much.
 
Links are for the non curious.
Actually Barack Obama proves my point. For a man of his age, by the Trump standards he is very poor. Has not accomplished nearly as much.
Most everyone here is non-curious as they are orating and not debating. They are not interested in facts. So when you say that links are for the non-curious, that is pure BS.

As far as your Obama answer, that too is pure BS because there is no way to compare those two, given that Obama was never a businessman that failed in business and whatever failures he had while in offices are less than Trump. Trump made 104 promises and failed 75% of the time. Obama made 524 promises and 47% of them he kept. 25% vs 47% means that Trump failed more than Obama.

Evidently, you do not want links to those statistics as you are non-curious
 
I am well aware of what is presently thought will happen. My point (and the point that many analysts on BloombergTV have stated) is that the potential consequences have not been factored in as it is not known just how much Trump will ACTUALLY do (or able to do) and how competently it will be done.

I am on this every day for 12 hours a day, so you showing me this is useless.
You're on this forum shilling for 12 hours a day, every day, during market hours, even, so no, you're not doing that at all is what I say.
:eusa_snooty:
 
You are entitled to your opinion but I have repeatedly "proven" that opinion is biased, misinformed and wrong
Exactly what you do!!!! Most everyone here is non-curious as they are orating and not debating.
 
Exactly what you do!!!! Most everyone here is non-curious as they are orating and not debating.
Orating definition is spouting your opinion. What I do is present data, statistics and facts. I am not an orator. What I am is a messenger.

I do not try to convince anyone or try to put anyone down for their opinion. My objective is to give information. What you do with it, is your business.
 
Yes it is.
Just do not accuse me of orating. Information is something that can be debated. Orating only requires and audience and no response other than boo's or applause.
 
Just do not accuse me of orating. Information is something that can be debated. Orating only requires and audience and no response other than boo's or applause.
Don't accuse me of doing it either.
 
Don't accuse me of doing it either.
Well, it was you that made this statement

"Actually Barack Obama proves my point. For a man of his age, by the Trump standards he is very poor. Has not accomplished nearly as much."

You WERE orating here. You provided no data, statistics and facts.
 
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