georgephillip,
et al,
I think there is something wrong with your analysis.
georgephillip, et al,
No, I do not believe that a "(long-term and successful) Confederation is possible. Such a Union would require both sides to trust one another (politically, economically, and morally) and come together under a common Constitution.
(COMMENT)
The Arab-Palestinian is an unaffordable economic parasite to any relationship it has; and gives back nothing in return. It would smother Israel and destroy any advancements it has made. The State of Palestine is a welfare state, unable to support itself. It is certainly unable to cohesively establish a free society and eliminate racism, racial discrimination, xenophobia, and related intolerance. It would not be able to achieve conditions whereby everyone may enjoy his civil and political rights, as well as his economic, social and cultural rights.
Mearshimer and Walt give the impression it's Israel that qualifies as an unaffordable parasite for the US taxpayer, at least. Since 1976 it has not been the case that the HoAP has received the largest annual amount of direct US economic and military assistance.
How many "Jews" were living on the West Bank in 1976?
I think it's fair to say the number would be much less than what it is today if the HoAP had received $8 million a day since Carter's election.
It wasn't the Arabs who evicted 650,000 Jews from their homes in 1948 while stealing 60% of the land between the River and the sea; maybe that's where the recent lack of trust took root?
(QUESTION)
$8M a day ($2.9B/year); Since the Carter Administration (1977 - 1981), before adjustment to current dollar values, is approximately $93B.
(OBSERVATION)
Summary: U.S. Foreign Aid to Israel said:
To date, the US has provided Israel $118 billion (current, or non-inflation-adjusted, dollars) in bilateral assistance.
SOURCE: Congressional Research Service Report: RL33222
Updated 12/18/2013
Key economic statistics
......................................................This week.....Month ago.....Year ago
Gross Domestic Product (billions)......$16890.8.....$16857.6......$15797.4
SOURCE: Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the value of all goods and services produced in the U.S.
The entire 32 years of aid, since the end of the Jimmy Carter Administration, amounts to seven tenths of one per cent of last weeks of the US GDP for one year (2013). Putting the amount in a daily form ($8M/day) is dramatic sounding, and good political theater, but hardly in a form that people will readily appreciate and understand.
Just as a means of comparitive value and ranking, I've listed the GDP - purchasing power parity 2013 Rankings of the EU, the US, and a few of the Arab League states, along with Israel and the West Bank:
1 European Union $15,700,000,000,000 2012 est.
2 United States....$15,660,000,000,000 2012 est.
23 Saudi Arabia..........$740,500,000,000 2012 est.
27 Egypt....................$537,800,000,000 2012 est
50 UAE......................$271,200,000,000 2012 est.
51 Israel....................$247,900,000,000 2012 est.
60 Kuwait..................$165,900,000,000 2012 est.
61 Iraq......................$155,400,000,000 2012 est.
69 Syria.....................$107,600,000,000 2011 est.
76 Oman.....................$90,660,000,000 2012 est.
88 Lebanon.................$63,690,000,000 2012 est.
91 Yemen...................$57,760,000,000 2012 est.
105 Jordan...................$38,670,000,000 2012 est.
155 West Bank ...............$8,020,000,000 2011 est.
SOURCE: CIA World Factbook 2013
(COMMENT)
The Palestinian has a non-mutual symbiotic relationship between its regional neighbors, where it benefits at the expense of the others. The West Bank has very limited financial support from its regional neighbors because they receive no mutual benefit and have no expectation that the future will bring otherwise; even if the Occupation Force is totally withdrawn and Israeli Settlements are abandon.
The endorsement by SECSTATE Kerry, of the Saudi inspired
Arab Peace Initiative of 2002, is probably a demonstration of how desperately the current Administration wants a settlement under its guiding hand. There is no possible way that the Saudi Plan is even remotely fair to the Israelis. And, that may actually be the purpose. There is no real benefit to the Arab League for a settlement. In fact, from a regional security standpoint, a Israeli-Palestinian Settlement may actually have a negative impact on the individual internal defense and development of each neighboring state. It presents even a greater threat when the (most likely outcome) Syrian situation is factored into the assessment. That will set the stage for the domination of the corridor into Lebanon and a fundamental Shi'a branch of Islam (the official state religion of Iran) from the East to the North.
While the Arab will rejoice in the beginning, they will grow to adjust to the impact of Shi'a Law in every segment of their community.
Most Respectfully,
R