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They need something to distract from the FBI's disaster of yesterday
“The Baton Rouge Police Department averaged 94 narcotics offenses per week from the start of 2011 through July 4, 2016,” said crime analyst Jeff Asher, author of the report. “But in the seven days after Sterling was killed (July 6-12), there were only 22 narcotics offenses -- 77 percent fewer than the average,” he explained. More specifically, data from the city’s open data portal show that the police made 91 narcotics arrests between June 29 and July 5, when Sterling was killed. The 22 arrests in the week following the shooting represent an immediate 76 percent drop in drug enforcement. According to the report, the 22 arrests from July 6-12 were then “the smallest of any seven-day period since the beginning of 2011.” Since July 12, the number drug arrests has risen slightly, but still remains well below the weekly average.
From July 13-19, police made 23 narcotics arrests, followed by 32 additional arrests between July 20 and 26. Asher thinks that drug arrests are an accurate measure of “proactive policing” because narcotics enforcement often requires policemen to take the initiative by “engaging with residents,” rather than just reacting to emergencies. The report emphasizes that “the specific reason for the apparent drop in proactive policing in Baton Rouge is unclear.” Asher said that one potential cause could be the protests in Baton Rouge that followed the shooting, which stretched the police department thin. However, Asher suggested that another reason could be “a long-term change in policing,” in that police officers might “fear a backlash if they were to be involved in a hostile encounter that was caught on camera.”
He references a May news briefing with FBI Director James Comey, where Comey acknowledged that “there’s a perception that police are less likely to do the marginal additional policing that’s suppresses crime.” Asher also found similar drops in narcotics arrests in St. Louis and Baltimore after the deaths of Michael Brown and Freddie Gray, respectively. After Michael Brown was shot and killed on August 9, 2014, the number of drug arrests immediately dropped from about 45 over the previous seven days to just over 10 in a week. In Baltimore, after Freddie Gray died on April 19, 2015, “controlled dangerous substance arrests” fell from nearly 150 over the prior seven days to about ten in a week.
As proactive policing in Baltimore fell, though, the number of homicides there rose. Asher uses information from the City of Baltimore to show that between December 2014 and March 2015, there were 51 homicides. However, from May through August 2015, there were 151 homicides (91 in the same period in 2014). According to William Johnson, the Executive Director for the National Association of Police Organizations (NAPO), Asher’s findings are not surprising. Though Johnson is not familiar with specific policing trends in Baton Rouge, he told CNSNews.com that he has “no reason to doubt the report.”
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