First we get people who misread polls, then we get those who believe polls address things they don't. Then we get...you get the picture yet? Everyone pays for polls because they help.
www.nbcnews.com
[All of these different polls — and many more — are telling pretty much the same story: Biden and Trump are locked in a competitive contest nearly a year before the 2024 general election.]
...
[But they don’t show or predict who will win a year from now. Or even tell us who the presidential nominees will ultimately be. Or which third-party candidates will gain ballot access and scramble up those nice, neat Biden-Trump head to head numbers. Or how the Electoral College, which ultimately decides the presidency, will shake out.
After all, we still have 11 months to go until Election Day 2024.]
nuf said
Too many are misreading the 2024 polls. Here’s a better way.
Analysis: Whether Biden or Trump is up by a few points, almost every survey is saying the same thing — the 2024 election is really close right now.
www.nbcnews.com
Too many are misreading the 2024 polls. Here’s a better way.
Analysis: Whether Biden or Trump is up by a few points, almost every survey is saying the same thing — the 2024 election is really close right now.[All of these different polls — and many more — are telling pretty much the same story: Biden and Trump are locked in a competitive contest nearly a year before the 2024 general election.]
...
[But they don’t show or predict who will win a year from now. Or even tell us who the presidential nominees will ultimately be. Or which third-party candidates will gain ballot access and scramble up those nice, neat Biden-Trump head to head numbers. Or how the Electoral College, which ultimately decides the presidency, will shake out.
After all, we still have 11 months to go until Election Day 2024.]
There’s a better way to read the polls
[Given polls’ margins of error, historically low response rates when reaching voters, different likely voter models and, yes, past polling misses, it’s become a fool’s errand to expect...]nuf said
