Rising interest rates might be a major factor. About time they raised them too. Low as **** interest rates have been a smoke screen for an economy that has truly never recovered from the recession. Just a fact and doesn't require an economist to recognize. The longer we practice an artificial economy, the longer a true correction will be. ........................As for a real housing crash perspective:
Historically reasonable home loan rates is approx. 7.5. My first place was 10.1% when rates were running 13-14%.
Our rates dropped to what, 3%? I have a 3% on my place.
Don't know about your area, but the fall on the west coast was approx. 50% or more of peak. Let's say from 400K to 200K, for example:
200K @ 3% is $800 per month.
200K @ 7.5% is $1398 per month.
What I'm saying is, under historically reasonable interest rates, you didn't lose 50% value. More like 72% (from 400K to 114K (GULP!)), because it's about the monthly payment for most of us. Make sense?