Statistikhengst
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National US Poll - July 30 2015 - Trump Tops Republican Pack By Quinnipiac University Connecticut
1,644 RV, MoE = +/-+2.5
Of that: 710 RRV, MoE = +/-3.7, 681 DRV, MoE = +/-3.8
Trump 20
Walker 13
Bush 10
Carson 6
Huckabee 6
Paul 6
Cruz 5
Kasich 5
Christie 3
Perry 2
Jindal 2
The rest: 1 or less
Margin: Trump +7, well outside the MoE. This time, Walker is in second.
Clinton 55
Sanders 17
Biden 15
DN / NA 11
O'Malley 1
Webb 1
Chafee 0
Margin: Clinton +38
Clinton (D) 41 / Bush 42, Bush +1
Clinton (D) 44 / Walker 43, Clinton +1
Clinton (D) 48 / Trump 36, Clinton +12
Biden (D) 43 / Bush 42, Biden +1
Biden (D) 43 / Walker 43, TIE
Biden (D) 49 / Trump 37, Biden +12
Sanders (D) 49 / Bush 44, Bush +5
Sanders (D) 37 / Walker 42, Walker +5
Sanders (D) 45 / Trump 37, Sanders +8
Qpiac paints a much tighter race for Hillary against either Bush (Jeb!) or Walker than any other pollster. This is one of the few polls where Biden has been pitted against 3 GOPers. In the case of both Hillary and Biden, according to Qpiac, the races against Bush and Walker are all statistical ties and with both parties in the low fourties, this doesn't say much. Sanders loses by 5 to both Bush and Walker.
But all three Democrats beat Trump quite handily, further proof of the "Trumpian Divide".
Qpiac has been consistently showing much leaner margins all along the way in national matchups, so this poll does not surprise me in the least.
This is now the 8th or 9th poll showing Trump substantially ahead.
There is no doubt that he is now the frontrunner, but around 20-24%, pretty much where Romney was most of the time in 2011.
More polling results to come soon.
1,644 RV, MoE = +/-+2.5
Of that: 710 RRV, MoE = +/-3.7, 681 DRV, MoE = +/-3.8
GOP nomination:
Trump 20
Walker 13
Bush 10
Carson 6
Huckabee 6
Paul 6
Cruz 5
Kasich 5
Christie 3
Perry 2
Jindal 2
The rest: 1 or less
Margin: Trump +7, well outside the MoE. This time, Walker is in second.
DEM nomination:
Clinton 55
Sanders 17
Biden 15
DN / NA 11
O'Malley 1
Webb 1
Chafee 0
Margin: Clinton +38
National Matchups:
Clinton (D) 41 / Bush 42, Bush +1
Clinton (D) 44 / Walker 43, Clinton +1
Clinton (D) 48 / Trump 36, Clinton +12
Biden (D) 43 / Bush 42, Biden +1
Biden (D) 43 / Walker 43, TIE
Biden (D) 49 / Trump 37, Biden +12
Sanders (D) 49 / Bush 44, Bush +5
Sanders (D) 37 / Walker 42, Walker +5
Sanders (D) 45 / Trump 37, Sanders +8
Qpiac paints a much tighter race for Hillary against either Bush (Jeb!) or Walker than any other pollster. This is one of the few polls where Biden has been pitted against 3 GOPers. In the case of both Hillary and Biden, according to Qpiac, the races against Bush and Walker are all statistical ties and with both parties in the low fourties, this doesn't say much. Sanders loses by 5 to both Bush and Walker.
But all three Democrats beat Trump quite handily, further proof of the "Trumpian Divide".
Qpiac has been consistently showing much leaner margins all along the way in national matchups, so this poll does not surprise me in the least.
This is now the 8th or 9th poll showing Trump substantially ahead.
There is no doubt that he is now the frontrunner, but around 20-24%, pretty much where Romney was most of the time in 2011.
More polling results to come soon.