Tracking the el nino

[ScienceRocks]

1C in an April weekly update is impressive. Even 1997 did not achieve that until the last week of May.

 

[jc456]

The anti-science and anti-government people are here. LOL

Do you know just how stupid that sounds. ANTI anti anti anti SCENCE, anti Guberment stealing more OF OUR MONIES for usless crap.

seriously give it up. you can be a tool if that's what you want

the old saying, once a dick, always a dick.

 

[ScienceRocks]

well, page 5 has the new chart and information. We're up to 1.0 at 3.4! So we will have a moderate nino. We're rising as we were around .5 a month ago...

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

 

[jc456]

well, page 5 has the new chart and information. We're up to 1.0 at 3.4! So we will have a moderate nino. We're rising as we were around .5 a month ago...

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

don't care. fact is there is no el nino and won't be. See you in September as the song goes.

 

[Old Rocks]

Ah, another firm forecast. LOL

 

[jc456]

Ah, another firm forecast. LOL

much better than the stupid link posted.

I quote from the report:
"Since the beginning of April, increased ridging (and above-average temperatures) has occurred over most of the U.S."

what a bunch of poop. That is so wrong it isn't even funny. Where do they think the US begins and ends? Even St. Louis had below temps. huh? they'd be smokin, smokin.

 

[Coloradomtnman]

CFSv2 showing the strongest El Niño event on record, with an ONI of +2.6C, higher than 1997's peak value of +2.4C

This is smaller than original. Click this bar to view the full image. The original is 1100x850.

Niño 4=+1.3ºC
Niño 3.4=+1.1ºC
Niño 3=+1.2ºC
Niño1+2=+0.7ºC

We're heading towards a big one! If this does it we will be over .8c on giss and noaa.

It's not "the" El Niño:

 

[mamooth]

The good news. A strong El Nino means lots of rain next fall and winter for California.

The bad news, that will mean lots of mudslides, as the rain hits the burned over areas. Fire season is just starting, and it will be a bad one.

 

[Billy_Bob]

Volcanic Heat mistaken for strengthening El Nino.

PORTLAND, Ore. (Reuters) - An undersea volcano about 300 miles (480 km) off Oregon's coast has been spewing lava for the past seven days, confirming forecasts made last fall and giving researchers unique insight into a hidden ocean hot spot, a scientist said on Friday.

Researchers know of two previous eruptions by the volcano, dubbed "Axial Seamount" for its location along the axis of an underwater mountain ridge, Oregon State University geologist Bill Chadwick said on Friday. But those 1998 and 2011 eruptions were detected months or years afterward, Chadwick added.

Last year, researchers connected monitoring gear to an undersea cable that, for the first time, allowed them to gather live data on the volcano, whose peak is about 4,900 feet (1,500 meters) below the ocean surface.

Yep... its been erupting on and off for months adding heat... Along with several others in the mid ocean..

Source

 

[Old Rocks]

You silly little liar, show where in the article that there was even mention of the El Nino.

 

[mamooth]

The "it's all undersea volcanoes!" theory is particularly stupid.

First, it posits that there's been a recent massive increase in undersea vulcanism to cause the warming. It would have to be an absolutely immense increase, on the order of a hundredfold. There is zero evidence of such a thing.

Second, it posits that the heat from these undersea volcanoes defies standard physics. If there were such volcanoes, the hotspots from them would be clearly visible in ocean temps. But nope, there's not a single such hotspot seen anywhere. The heat from these undersea volcanoes must be magical, in that it can apparently heat the air without heating the intervening oceans.

And since it's such an insane theory, we expect Billy to believe it.

 

[ScienceRocks]

 

[Billy_Bob]

\


As the world cools and the anomaly disintegrates...

 

[ScienceRocks]

\


As the world cools and the anomaly disintegrates...

Your a fucking idiot...

 

[ScienceRocks]

ECMWF plumes..If this gets to 1.5 or even 2c like this says = wow!!!!

Update this week should be at +1.0C

 

[ScienceRocks]

This week
Niño 4=+1.4°C
Niño 3.4=+1.0°C
Niño 3=+1.0°C
Niño 1+2=+1.9°C

El Nino at +1.0C and ONI up to +0.6C.

http://www.cpc.noaa.gov/products/analys ... ts-web.pdf

 

[Old Rocks]

Going to be an interesting year.

 

[jc456]

ECMWF plumes..If this gets to 1.5 or even 2c like this says = wow!!!!

Update this week should be at +1.0C

Paaalease

 

[ScienceRocks]

ECMWF plumes..If this gets to 1.5 or even 2c like this says = wow!!!!

Update this week should be at +1.0C

Paaalease

And what do you disagree with?

 

[jc456]

ECMWF plumes..If this gets to 1.5 or even 2c like this says = wow!!!!

Update this week should be at +1.0C

Paaalease

And what do you disagree with?

All of it.