2aguy
Diamond Member
- Jul 19, 2014
- 111,969
- 52,237
- 2,290
Yep...the incompetent bureaucrats at the CBO are getting it wrong again.....and the democrats are more than willing to lie about the obamacare replacement plan since they really, really want single payer......since controlling your healthcare would increase their power and control over your lives in ways you can't imagine yet....
Fact Check: No, the Republican Healthcare Bill Would Not Cause 23 Million People to "Lose" Insurance
This is deeply misleading, for reasons that we explained in detail when the CBO released its March analysis of the initial ACHA.
In short, the large bulk of those who are said to be "losing" coverage do not currently have coverage. You cannot "lose" something that you don't have.
CBO assumes that these people would eventually gain coverage through the magical powers of Obamacare's individual mandate (more on that in a moment), or through hypothetical future expansions of Medicaid by most of the states that haven't done so to date.
Current Medicaid beneficiaries, including those who've gained (very flawed) coverage under Obamacare's expansion, are grandfathered in under the House GOP proposal.
It also bakes into these new numbers a slew of empirically-incorrect projections that have been disproven by actual data.
When Obamacare first passed, CBO anticipated that by 2016, 21 million Americans would enroll in the law's exchanges.
When 2016 rolled around, the real number was just about 10 million.
A massive miss.
Remarkably, CBO relies on its revised 2016 "baseline" in its new calculations -- but the 2016 baseline was also off by millions.
By their own admission. Despite these demonstrable misfires, CBO is still using verifiably-disproven, Obamacare-friendly estimates as the basis for comparison:
Fact Check: No, the Republican Healthcare Bill Would Not Cause 23 Million People to "Lose" Insurance
This is deeply misleading, for reasons that we explained in detail when the CBO released its March analysis of the initial ACHA.
In short, the large bulk of those who are said to be "losing" coverage do not currently have coverage. You cannot "lose" something that you don't have.
CBO assumes that these people would eventually gain coverage through the magical powers of Obamacare's individual mandate (more on that in a moment), or through hypothetical future expansions of Medicaid by most of the states that haven't done so to date.
Current Medicaid beneficiaries, including those who've gained (very flawed) coverage under Obamacare's expansion, are grandfathered in under the House GOP proposal.
It also bakes into these new numbers a slew of empirically-incorrect projections that have been disproven by actual data.
When Obamacare first passed, CBO anticipated that by 2016, 21 million Americans would enroll in the law's exchanges.
When 2016 rolled around, the real number was just about 10 million.
A massive miss.
Remarkably, CBO relies on its revised 2016 "baseline" in its new calculations -- but the 2016 baseline was also off by millions.
By their own admission. Despite these demonstrable misfires, CBO is still using verifiably-disproven, Obamacare-friendly estimates as the basis for comparison: