The Dunning–Kruger Effect

[ptbw forever]

.

The Dunning–Kruger effect has become a significant factor in the twenty-first century politics of the United States.

For those unfamiliar with the term, the Dunning–Kruger effect can be described in this way: “If you were asked to rate how funny you are, you probably would not say you are a stand-up comedian, but still funnier than the average person. The problem? So would most people, and most of us probably just aren’t that funny.”

A 1999 study by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger involved metacognition and the lack thereof by less competent groups and individuals.

In 1871, Charles Darwin wrote of his own understanding of metacognition in The Descent of Man. He wrote, “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.”

Dunning and Kruger found this bias when they tested students in areas of humor, grammar, and logic. The two psychologists then compared each student’s estimated ability with their final test scores. Those comparisons showed the students who scored the lowest also greatly overestimated their abilities, while those who did best slightly underestimated their expected performance. This is illustrated in the following graph, and shows those who have little knowledge in a subject are aware of their limitation, but those with just the bare minimum or no actual knowledge of a subject vastly overestimate their abilities. Those who are more competent are more mindful of the gaps in their knowledge, up to the point of high competence where the geniuses realize their true skill level.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
View attachment 208226
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In their paper, Dunning and Kruger explain there are two important factors in the individual’s level of metacognition. Ego is the first, since very few people are willing to admit to themselves they are below average in anything. Second is that most people are poor at judging a skill level due to their below-average ability in that particular skill. A Catch 22 in the human thought process, which leads to a person’s lack of knowledge making them unable to see their own errors.

“Incompetent people, the researchers found, are not only poor performers, they are also unable to accurately assess and recognize the quality of their own work. These low performers were also unable to recognize the skill and competence levels of other people, which is part of the reason why they consistently view themselves as better, more capable, and more knowledgeable than others.”

As Dunning and Kruger put it, “overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it.”

Dunning-Kruger Effect: Why Incompetent People Think They Are Superior

For those curious about their own level of metacognitive ability, the following link offers a test. But it is only accurate when the person being tested answers each question honestly.

For those who score poorly, it is expected they will deny the validity of the test, as many deny everything scientific. Have fun and prepare for the right wing lunacy that will be in response to this OP.

Are You Stupid? Take Our 60-Second Test!


View attachment 208227






.

You are just losing Democrats even more votes, moron.

Thanks for the timely example.

I am going to laugh when they start to have trouble changing Democrat party registrations to Independent and Republican because the demand is too high.

Soon we will be able to walk into supposedly Democrat precincts and literally every voter there will have a "#walkaway" T-Shirt and a MAGA hat to the point that the judges at the polls will be able to visibly see that the Republican will win in a landslide.

Just look at the thousands of comments for a left wing website that has the gall to attack the critics of Jeong:

Right-wing websites target New York Times' new writer over what they call 'anti-white' tweets

The tiny amount of comments supporting it are literal retards while the vast majority of the Democrats there are condemning their own party, the article, Jeong and the NYT. Just 3 years ago a yahoo article would have been majority pro Yahoo.

Either the most influential left wing paper in the world is going to die and sink Jeong with them, or they will fire her and die shortly afterward.

Another win for Trump.

 

[Hutch Starskey]

.

The Dunning–Kruger effect has become a significant factor in the twenty-first century politics of the United States.

For those unfamiliar with the term, the Dunning–Kruger effect can be described in this way: “If you were asked to rate how funny you are, you probably would not say you are a stand-up comedian, but still funnier than the average person. The problem? So would most people, and most of us probably just aren’t that funny.”

A 1999 study by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger involved metacognition and the lack thereof by less competent groups and individuals.

In 1871, Charles Darwin wrote of his own understanding of metacognition in The Descent of Man. He wrote, “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.”

Dunning and Kruger found this bias when they tested students in areas of humor, grammar, and logic. The two psychologists then compared each student’s estimated ability with their final test scores. Those comparisons showed the students who scored the lowest also greatly overestimated their abilities, while those who did best slightly underestimated their expected performance. This is illustrated in the following graph, and shows those who have little knowledge in a subject are aware of their limitation, but those with just the bare minimum or no actual knowledge of a subject vastly overestimate their abilities. Those who are more competent are more mindful of the gaps in their knowledge, up to the point of high competence where the geniuses realize their true skill level.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
View attachment 208226
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In their paper, Dunning and Kruger explain there are two important factors in the individual’s level of metacognition. Ego is the first, since very few people are willing to admit to themselves they are below average in anything. Second is that most people are poor at judging a skill level due to their below-average ability in that particular skill. A Catch 22 in the human thought process, which leads to a person’s lack of knowledge making them unable to see their own errors.

“Incompetent people, the researchers found, are not only poor performers, they are also unable to accurately assess and recognize the quality of their own work. These low performers were also unable to recognize the skill and competence levels of other people, which is part of the reason why they consistently view themselves as better, more capable, and more knowledgeable than others.”

As Dunning and Kruger put it, “overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it.”

Dunning-Kruger Effect: Why Incompetent People Think They Are Superior

For those curious about their own level of metacognitive ability, the following link offers a test. But it is only accurate when the person being tested answers each question honestly.

For those who score poorly, it is expected they will deny the validity of the test, as many deny everything scientific. Have fun and prepare for the right wing lunacy that will be in response to this OP.

Are You Stupid? Take Our 60-Second Test!


View attachment 208227






.

You are just losing Democrats even more votes, moron.

Thanks for the timely example.

I am going to laugh when they start to have trouble changing Democrat party registrations to Independent and Republican because the demand is too high.

Soon we will be able to walk into supposedly Democrat precincts and literally every voter there will have a "#walkaway" T-Shirt and a MAGA hat to the point that the judges at the polls will be able to visibly see that the Republican will win in a landslide.

Just look at the thousands of comments for a left wing website that has the gall to attack the critics of Jeong:

Right-wing websites target New York Times' new writer over what they call 'anti-white' tweets

The tiny amount of comments supporting it are literal retards while the vast majority of the Democrats there are condemning their own party, the article, Jeong and the NYT. Just 3 years ago a yahoo article would have been majority pro Yahoo.

Either the most influential left wing paper in the world is going to die and sink Jeong with them, or they will fire her and die shortly afterward.

Another win for Trump.

I'm already laughing at you.

 

[westwall]

.

The Dunning–Kruger effect has become a significant factor in the twenty-first century politics of the United States.

For those unfamiliar with the term, the Dunning–Kruger effect can be described in this way: “If you were asked to rate how funny you are, you probably would not say you are a stand-up comedian, but still funnier than the average person. The problem? So would most people, and most of us probably just aren’t that funny.”

A 1999 study by psychologists David Dunning and Justin Kruger involved metacognition and the lack thereof by less competent groups and individuals.

In 1871, Charles Darwin wrote of his own understanding of metacognition in The Descent of Man. He wrote, “Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.”

Dunning and Kruger found this bias when they tested students in areas of humor, grammar, and logic. The two psychologists then compared each student’s estimated ability with their final test scores. Those comparisons showed the students who scored the lowest also greatly overestimated their abilities, while those who did best slightly underestimated their expected performance. This is illustrated in the following graph, and shows those who have little knowledge in a subject are aware of their limitation, but those with just the bare minimum or no actual knowledge of a subject vastly overestimate their abilities. Those who are more competent are more mindful of the gaps in their knowledge, up to the point of high competence where the geniuses realize their true skill level.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
View attachment 208226
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

In their paper, Dunning and Kruger explain there are two important factors in the individual’s level of metacognition. Ego is the first, since very few people are willing to admit to themselves they are below average in anything. Second is that most people are poor at judging a skill level due to their below-average ability in that particular skill. A Catch 22 in the human thought process, which leads to a person’s lack of knowledge making them unable to see their own errors.

“Incompetent people, the researchers found, are not only poor performers, they are also unable to accurately assess and recognize the quality of their own work. These low performers were also unable to recognize the skill and competence levels of other people, which is part of the reason why they consistently view themselves as better, more capable, and more knowledgeable than others.”

As Dunning and Kruger put it, “overestimation occurs, in part, because people who are unskilled in these domains suffer a dual burden: Not only do these people reach erroneous conclusions and make unfortunate choices, but their incompetence robs them of the metacognitive ability to realize it.”

Dunning-Kruger Effect: Why Incompetent People Think They Are Superior

For those curious about their own level of metacognitive ability, the following link offers a test. But it is only accurate when the person being tested answers each question honestly.

For those who score poorly, it is expected they will deny the validity of the test, as many deny everything scientific. Have fun and prepare for the right wing lunacy that will be in response to this OP.

Are You Stupid? Take Our 60-Second Test!


View attachment 208227






.

And wouldn't you know it, you're a poster child for the effect! I find it amusing that most people who post D-K studies, and then sit back with their self indulgent smiles glues to their faces don't understand that it applies to them more than their intended targets. That is one of the beautiful aspects of D-K. Those most prone to point to it and go "oh, oh, oh" are the very people they claim they are better than.

Funny that.

While I agree that it's a phenomenon that affects all humans, a disproportional number of Trump supporters are affected.

It's the same as not all Republicans are racist but racists are disproportionally Republican.

And yet it is democrats who universally claim that blacks are too stupid to figure out how to get a photo ID. Do you not see the inherent racism in that claim? Blacks do. And they resent it.

You are the only one who has claimed that, liar.

Feel free to link to any Repubs making the claim that blacks aren't capable of figuring out how to get a photo ID.