flacaltenn
Diamond Member
First, it's about 1°C, in just over a century. Moreover, that warming will remain with us for centuries, and pretty much no matter what we are doing. So, it's preposterous to speak about a "tiny ... blip." Lastly, the wild temperature fluctuation you claim could have happened just cannot, because it is, at its basis, an energy balance. There are few ways for energy to be retained in the earth's system, and there is only one way to get rid of this energy.
Yeah -- it's a blip.. Showed you +/- 0.6 swings in the HIGH RESOLUTION Greenland ice cores. And that area is not affected by a LOT of global thermal conduction routes.
There is actually ample evidence in INDIVIDUAL local proxies for climate variances of NEAR 1degC to be fairly common in the interglacial warm periods. NOT PROOF of anything. Just a reminder how little spatial and temporal resolution REMAINS in the GLOBAL studies after data crunching. It's just a flat line MEAN with a lot of noise. But even if you WANTED to claim, that the steady state temp equilibrium of the planet should have no natural variance --- Even the hockey sticks variances -- which they paint in pale colors to not draw attention, are of very high magnitude. But those show no patterns, just noise. More likely because the VARIANCE in the proxies was filtered out in the processing and mixing if it ever existed.
There is a TCS and an ECS for transient and extended climate responses. Not well solved as to the actual mechanisms. More of a modeling guesstimates.
LOTS of ways to imbalance the balance. Simply shifting the solar spectrum to more infrared thins the thermosphere.. See the thread on the latest NASA study of solar minimums on ionizing that sensitive planetary skin. And effects like THESE don't affect temperatures for decades or maybe a century AFTER they initiate. No one could measure this 30 years ago. And if there is a Grand Solar minimum, it'll be a big boost to our understanding of climate effects that aren't simple ass "correlations" with CO2.
The earth's thermal balance doesn't turn on dime everytime the CO2 goes up by 80ppm or the TSI changes by 0.4W/m2.
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