courseofhistory
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- Aug 7, 2012
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Two top surrogates said Sunday that Mitt Romney cannot defeat President Obama in November simply by attacking him, and needs to run on a strong vision of his own.
Appearing on Fox News Sunday, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R) agreed when asked if his partys presidential nominee needs to offer a bold, affirmative agenda in order to win.
The American people will rightly, I think, demand to know something more than hes not President Obama, Daniels said. Hes got to use this fall as an opportunity to build a consensus across, I hope, a broad spectrum of Americans to make the big changes we need. He better have an affirmative, constructive message, and one of hope.
Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker (R), who comfortably won his recall race last week, made a similar point Sunday.
On CBS Face The Nation, he said voters want leaders who are willing to take on the tough issues, not only here in Wisconsin but across the country. And I think Gov. Romneys got a shot if the R next to his name doesnt just stand for Republican, it stands for reformer if he shows my state and he shows Americans that hes got a plan.
Unfortunately he doesn't have a plan--not one that will work as he says it will anyway--quote the opposite!
Romney cannot win a landslide, but he can still winbut to do so he must win Florida. Right now, Nate Silver gives President Obama a 56 percent chance of winning the state again this year.
A Republican has not won the presidency without winning Florida since Calvin Coolidge. Yes, Democrats generallyand President Obama specificallycan win without Florida. But Republicans generally and Romney specifically simply cannot. Think of Florida as the closer: If on election night Florida is called for President Obama, the election is over (as it should have been in 2000).
In 2008, President Obama won Florida by 185,000 votes. And he won Miami-Dade by 140,000 votes (of 800,000 total votes cast in Florida's most populous county). Without a big win in Miami-Dade County, and the rest of South Florida, Barack Obama would not have won Florida. This is true for 2012 as well.
Florida Obama 49 Romney 46
Ohio 50 44
Virginia 50 45
Colorado 49 46
Nevada 49 45
Wisconsin 50 45
MI 44 47
PA 48 42
Ohio 50 44
Virginia 50 45
Colorado 49 46
Nevada 49 45
Wisconsin 50 45
MI 44 47
PA 48 42