Rasmussen: Iowa - Romney 49, Obama 48

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by TheGreatGatsby, Nov 2, 2012.

  1. TheGreatGatsby
    Offline

    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2012
    Messages:
    20,434
    Thanks Received:
    2,365
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    California
    Ratings:
    +6,568
  2. AceRothstein
    Offline

    AceRothstein Gold Member

    Joined:
    Sep 8, 2012
    Messages:
    5,369
    Thanks Received:
    877
    Trophy Points:
    245
    Ratings:
    +2,533
    Romney has no chance in Nevada. He has led there in ONE poll all year and that was in April.
     
  3. elvis
    Offline

    elvis BANNED Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Sep 15, 2008
    Messages:
    25,882
    Thanks Received:
    4,303
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Ratings:
    +4,303
    Tied
     
  4. TheGreatGatsby
    Offline

    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2012
    Messages:
    20,434
    Thanks Received:
    2,365
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    California
    Ratings:
    +6,568
    I've all but written off Nevada. The SEIU and the mobs control the voting machines in Nevada. Harry Reid was supposed to easily lose his election, but they handled it. And that's why they gave him a beatdown when he didn't take some marching orders. That said, it's still close, so we'll see.
     
  5. auditor0007
    Offline

    auditor0007 Gold Member

    Joined:
    Oct 19, 2008
    Messages:
    12,566
    Thanks Received:
    2,255
    Trophy Points:
    255
    Location:
    Toledo, OH
    Ratings:
    +3,218
    All the movement is heading towards Obama. In the national polls, Obama now leads in all of them except for Gallup which stopped reporting. Rasmussen just moved from Romney +2 to tie. Over the weekend you will see this movement continue. Obama will end up winning the popular vote by three or four points. I've said all along that we would see a hard break one way or the other in the final days. Conventional thinking stated that the undecideds usually break for the challenger, but this year is different. People don't like Romney and with the decent jobs report and Obama's handling of the aftermath of Hurricane Sandy, everything is going the president's way.

    Romney's attempt at going after Pennsylvania has nothing to do with him expanding the field because he feels confident he's going to win everywhere else. It is a Hail Mary, because that is all he has left. Internal polls usually show these movements before the public polls. Romney has seen the writing on the wall. Come Tuesday, I believe you will see Obama take every swing state. The only exception might be NC, but I'm going out on a limb and saying Obama will even take NC. Maybe I'm just full of hot air, but this does seem to be the direction this election is heading.
     
    • Thank You! Thank You! x 2
  6. mamooth
    Offline

    mamooth Gold Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2012
    Messages:
    13,664
    Thanks Received:
    2,444
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    Indianapolis, Indiana
    Ratings:
    +6,620
    If Ras says +1, that means Obama is at +5 in Iowa. Rasmussen has that consistent 4 point Republican bias in its state polls.
     
  7. TheGreatGatsby
    Offline

    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2012
    Messages:
    20,434
    Thanks Received:
    2,365
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    California
    Ratings:
    +6,568
    Of all the hack things you bloviated about; this has to be the biggest hack thing you said. You were at least tip toeing along the line of reality before that.
     
  8. TheGreatGatsby
    Offline

    TheGreatGatsby Gold Member

    Joined:
    Mar 27, 2012
    Messages:
    20,434
    Thanks Received:
    2,365
    Trophy Points:
    280
    Location:
    California
    Ratings:
    +6,568
    Your math fails you. It'd be plus 3 for Obama.

    I expect Romney voters to be very energized and I give him about 70 percent chance of winning the state.
     
  9. mamooth
    Offline

    mamooth Gold Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Aug 17, 2012
    Messages:
    13,664
    Thanks Received:
    2,444
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    Indianapolis, Indiana
    Ratings:
    +6,620
    Hey, you got something right! Well done.

    Recent Iowa polls:

    Obama +4.0 Gravis Marketing
    Obama +3.0 CallFire
    Obama +5.0 PPP
    Romney +1.0 Rasmussen
    Obama +1.5 We Ask America
    Obama +6.0 NBC/Marist
    Obama +1.7 U. Iowa

    Good luck with your faith in a surprise turnout.
     
  10. RoadVirus
    Offline

    RoadVirus <insert pithy title here>

    Joined:
    Oct 22, 2008
    Messages:
    5,277
    Thanks Received:
    574
    Trophy Points:
    88
    Location:
    Illinois
    Ratings:
    +583
    What do you expect from a state that re-elected Harry Reid?
     

Share This Page