Their numbers are simply old and wrong. I never rely government numbers for much of anything. Demand will DROP upwards closer to 5% domestically THIS YEAR and and another 2-3% next year. Globally demand will also DROP by AT LEAST 2 maybe 3% this year and remain FLAT or drop again next year. If India and China have to further reduce their subsidies (and they will HAVE TO....multiple times) then demand may plummet as Chinese and Indian consumers are much more price sensative than we are and we are dropping our demand by 4-5%...expect theirs to fall by DOUBLE DIGITS when that happens.
Find new numbers, EIA prediction numbers are USELESS.
I know. I never use EIA prediction numbers either. They are heavily revised, usually multiple times. If you'd read carefully, you'd notice that I didn't use EIA numbers for prediction. I used the more referenced, and better IEA numbers for prediction by their latest press release which states that demand is close to 87 mpd this year, far from your unsubstantiated number of 84 mpd.
I did, however, use EIA numbers. They were numbers which have consistently shown past imports and where those imports came from. Those stated that we get 45% from OPEC, which refutes your claim of less than 15%. And that we get ≈40% from Mexico, Canada and Venezuela (which is also in OPEC) which also refutes your claim that we get "almost all" of our imports from those three nations.
If you'd like to refute any of these numbers, then please provide your own numbers and sources like I've asked before, yet you seem so unwilling to do.
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