Ohio comes out of the toss-up category

Discussion in 'Election Forums' started by Greenbeard, Sep 26, 2012.

  1. Greenbeard
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    Greenbeard Gold Member

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    After a series of polls have showed Obama building on his lead in Ohio (including Obama +8 and Obama +10 polls this week), the president is now up over 5 in the state in the RCP average.

    That means it's no longer listed as a toss-up on the RCP map but rather is now an Obama state (bringing him to 265 electoral votes): RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map

    If the Romney people have a strategy, they better start revisiting it.
     
  2. candycorn
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    candycorn Alis volat propriis

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    Obama is ahead; no doubt. I think it is low single digits however. That being said; when poll after poll show the same result, "margin of error" is out the window.
     
  3. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    its not out the window to the extent that a smaller edge is easier to lose than a larger one. i wonder how the right on this board will spin the fact that no republican has ever won without ohio.

    today's RPC electoral college map, with ohio now in leans obama column

    obama - 265
    romney - 191

    RealClearPolitics - 2012 Election Maps - Electoral Map
     
  4. Warrior102
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    Warrior102 Gold Member

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    I don't think people in Ohio are as stupid as a poll would indicate.

    Obama hasn't done jack-shit for them. Hell, he hasn't done jack-shit for anyone...

    "Ohio’s jobs market stayed in neutral last month, making for consecutive months of no improvement after nearly a year of gains.

    The Ohio unemployment rate remained at 7.2 percent in August, unchanged from June and July, according to data released Friday by the Ohio Department of Job and Family Services. Prior to that, the state’s unemployment rate had fallen for 11 straight months, outpacing the national recovery."


    Discouraged workers help keep Ohio?s unemployment rate at 7.2% in August - Columbus - Business First
     
  5. LoneLaugher
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    LoneLaugher Diamond Member

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    "Let Detroit Go Bankrupt" is all Obama needs to win Ohio. And he's got the $$ to say it as often as he wants. Ohio is a done deal.
     
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  6. jillian
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    jillian Princess Supporting Member

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    most people don't have the abject hatred for the president that we see on this board.

    and romney is a horrible candidate.
     
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  7. Warrior102
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    Warrior102 Gold Member

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    I don't hate Obama. I would personally love to sit down with him, have a beer, and tell him what a miserable failure he is as a president. I'm sure he's a nice enough guy.
     
  8. Dr.Traveler
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    Dr.Traveler Mathematician

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    That's pretty much how I felt about Bush. I could have never even been in the same room as Clinton.

    As for the OP: Yeah, this isn't surprising. If Ohio has really and truly moved away from undecided to "leans" this is a really bad sign for Romney. A lot of GOP strategists were calling Ohio a "Must win" state. Romney's path to the Oval Office is pretty damn difficult without Ohio.
     
  9. AmyNation
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    AmyNation Road Warrior Supporting Member

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    1 in every 8 jobs in Ohio depend on the auto industry. That's a big hurtle for Mitt to overcome.
     
  10. Warrior102
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    Warrior102 Gold Member

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    See post number 4, numbnuts.

    It would appear it's Obama's hurdle, dumbass.
     

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