Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports Who is going to be elected, Obama or Romney? At this point I think it's hard to predict, but I think that: 1) If Obama wins this time, it's definitely going to be closer than it was in 2008. 2) Undoubtfully, the "47%" controversy has hurt Mitt Romney since he was doing better in the polls before that thing emerged. 3) On the other hand, Obama is much more vulnerable this time than he was in 2008. In 2008 McCain couldn't close the gap because Obama was "hope and change" and there were huge expectations on him. This time around Obama has a record and it's not a very good one. 4) The debates will be a golden opportunity for Romney to turn the tables on Obama, otherwise Obama will be able to keep the advantage he has now until the election and get reelected.