PLYMCO_PILGRIM
Gold Member
The current RCP numbers, as of today, show Romney with a TINY edge over obama in both the swing states and the national polls.
Not even a tiny edge. Polling has failed us this year and it's all because the Republicans have discovered that you can take any poll and get any answer you want. It used to be a good indicator but not anymore.
It still is a good indicator--state polls. What has failed is that if Republicans don't like a result, they shift the rules.
If the candidate is falling behind in the polls, blame the pollsters.
If the candidate is creating gaffe after gaffe, blame the media.
If the labor numbers are beneficial to the President, accuse the BLS of cooking the books.
If the debate is decided that the President did well, blame the moderator
The polls are fine, Republican supporters are defective.
If you want to be honest you would say the patisans on both sides do this. I've heard it from both the liberal and the conservative voices in our local and national media outlets. Regardless of party if a poll doesn't give the results people want for their canidate they will find a reason for the poll to be invalid.
That being said, current polling, on average from Real Clear Politics, have Romney ahead in the national "popular" vote and a "too close to call" situation for the swing states/electoral college. That is just the overall facts of the averages of all the polls.