More About Rural Southern White Flight: The Tiny Tent Floated On In Likely Only In Eleven States!

[mascale]

It is elsewhere noted that only about eleven states had a greater voter turnout than in 2012, and in those states Republicans won. Everywhere else, the turnout was lower than in 2012. It is elsewhere noted that exit polling in 21 of the states found a general white flight among voters in 2014.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/10/u...dency-tight-but-real.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0

So in the link, other analysts note that in only two states, North Carolina and Colorado, a slight voter shift could have made a major difference.
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"Democrats would have narrowly won key races in Colorado and North Carolina if the electorate were as young and diverse as it was in 2012, and as Democrats hope it will be in 2016. It could be even more diverse, given the powerful demographic forces underlying the growth of the nonwhite share of the electorate over the last decade. Democrats also maintained most of their support among college-educated whites and black voters, a combination that would make it hard for Republicans to win 2016."
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Supposing the Democrats again choose a diversity-based candidate, for the White House, than 2014 mainly starts to look like off-year Reds Win as usual. Then if the nominee is from a well-liked household--the legacy of Clinton: So far the Republican legacy looks only like another Bush family member.

The link is easily suggesting more than it puts into words. There is a moderate tinge in some of the recent votes, enough for an analyst to note that even Red State Whites can turn from a Democrat-Light, vote--their own--to an actual vote for a Democrat.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Maybe others take back lands formerly their own(?)!)

 

[candycorn]

It is elsewhere noted that only about eleven states had a greater voter turnout than in 2012, and in those states Republicans won. Everywhere else, the turnout was lower than in 2012. It is elsewhere noted that exit polling in 21 of the states found a general white flight among voters in 2014.

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/11/10/u...dency-tight-but-real.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=0

So in the link, other analysts note that in only two states, North Carolina and Colorado, a slight voter shift could have made a major difference.
___________________________________
"Democrats would have narrowly won key races in Colorado and North Carolina if the electorate were as young and diverse as it was in 2012, and as Democrats hope it will be in 2016. It could be even more diverse, given the powerful demographic forces underlying the growth of the nonwhite share of the electorate over the last decade. Democrats also maintained most of their support among college-educated whites and black voters, a combination that would make it hard for Republicans to win 2016."
______________________________

Supposing the Democrats again choose a diversity-based candidate, for the White House, than 2014 mainly starts to look like off-year Reds Win as usual. Then if the nominee is from a well-liked household--the legacy of Clinton: So far the Republican legacy looks only like another Bush family member.

The link is easily suggesting more than it puts into words. There is a moderate tinge in some of the recent votes, enough for an analyst to note that even Red State Whites can turn from a Democrat-Light, vote--their own--to an actual vote for a Democrat.

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Maybe others take back lands formerly their own(?)!)

Interesting post.

 

[chikenwing]

LOL this is getting rather comical.

 

[mascale]

So maybe how narrow is the voting bloc, following along the link analysis? On the one hand, anyone knows how those minorities can be(?). On the other hand, when in history have they all been White farmers(?)! Lincoln did at one time propose the concept, "40 Acres And A Mule." Toss in a new Ford Pick-up, and anyone can see what really happened. See from the link, below:
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But the Republican path is also narrow, one the Democrats could block if they reassemble their support among the young, nonwhite and suburban voters whom President Obama won in 2008 and 2012. In the simplest of terms, Republicans made progress this year toward solving their demographic problems, but not enough. “It was an excellent election night,” said Glen Bolger, a Republican pollster, “but it doesn’t solve our problem in demographics in presidential years.”
The results in Iowa were the clearest illustration that the Republican landslide on Tuesday was not just because of low Democratic turnout in off-year elections.
On Tuesday, Joni Ernst, now a Republican senator-elect, won a decisive nine-point victory. She swept much of traditionally Democratic eastern Iowa, where Democrats have long fared well with rural voters.
In Colorado, Cory Gardner, now a senator-elect, also made significant gains among rural white voters. He also outperformed past Republicans in traditionally Democratic, heavily Hispanic counties.
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So between now and 2016, then maybe all kinds of people can expect a deed to a farm in the mail?

The Republicans appear to understand about the use of money, "to solve our problem in demographics in presidential years," no doubt(?).

"Crow, James Crow: Shaken, Not Stirred!"
(Minimum Wage movement maybe not resonating, after all, at RNC! Forty Acres and a New Ford Pick-Up. . . .The Koch Brothers now have their agenda, for us all!)