McCain Gains 4 in Gallup

Discussion in 'Congress' started by The Paperboy, Oct 12, 2008.

  1. The Paperboy
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    The Paperboy Times Square

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    The latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking report finds registered voters preferring Barack Obama (50%) to John McCain (43%) when asked who they would vote for if the presidential election were held today.

    Link here
     
  2. The Paperboy
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    The Paperboy Times Square

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    Also from the current Gallup Poll:

    Likely Voter Estimates

    Obama's current advantage is slightly less when estimating the preferences of likely voters, which Gallup will begin reporting on a regular basis between now and the election. Gallup is providing two likely voter estimates to take into account different turnout scenarios.

    The first likely voter model is based on Gallup's traditional likely voter assumptions, which determine respondents' likelihood to vote based on how they answer questions about their current voting intention and past voting behavior. According to this model, Obama's advantage over McCain is 50% to 46% in Oct. 9-11 tracking data.
     
  3. Article 15
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    Article 15 Dr. House slayer

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    RCP Obama +7.3

    The electoral map is a disaster for McCain.

    This race is over.
     
  4. The Paperboy
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    The Paperboy Times Square

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    You of all posters here should no it ain't over 'til the fat lady sings. ;)
     
  5. Article 15
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    Article 15 Dr. House slayer

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    She's backstage practicing scales then ...
     
  6. Larkinn
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    Larkinn Senior Member

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    So now he is only down 7!

    Congrats!!!
     
  7. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    Obama's lead over McCain is the largest to date, in the averaged polls.
     
  8. The Paperboy
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    The Paperboy Times Square

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    Yes but many of the RCP polls are days out of date.

    I personally like to keep an eye on the 4 polls that track daily on RCP.

    RCP also doesn't use Zogby which has it within the margin of error.

    This is not to say Obama isn't ahead. He is. But I think it is still very close and "not in the bag". But I certainly hope Obama supporters think it is.
     
    Last edited: Oct 12, 2008
  9. Caligirl
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    Caligirl Oh yes it is too!

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    I am an obama supporter, I know it isn't on the bag, but there are very few game changers left available. They are things like vp picks, debates, and crises. Only one known event like this left, and the trends in the pols have benefited Obama for a few weeks now, through several such points.

    There could be a security crisis which would help McCain, and I wouldn't rule that out given then world we live in.

    And I am always untrusting of the machines. :)
     
  10. Annie
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    Annie Diamond Member

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    I'm for McCain, but he's lost this election. Say goodbye. He asked all of us to not fear an Obama presidency. OK. We're here. Don't be surprised you are not winning.
     

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