March Madenss

Wroberson

VIP Member
Sep 13, 2012
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Oak Park, IL.
The NCAA Basketball Tournament is just weeks away and for many around the World it's time to set up your brackets. I'm not much of a brackets guy. I am more into betting the games. So, to level the playing field, Here is one of the latest bracket projections. It's no the official team placements, but just a prediction. The actually alignments will be made on Selection Sunday. March 17, 2013. Each of the 16 seeds will have 4 teams per seed.

NCAA Tournament Bracket Predictions, Projections & Picks 2013

I like this bracket. It matches up well with my target group of wagers. The target group consists of 10 wagers among 7 of the top 10 seeds in the 2nd round. The 2nd round is played March 21-22, 2013 and involes 64 teams and 32 games. I also have a target group for the 3rd round that is played on March 23-24, 2013 with 32 teams and 16 games.

2nd Round target group:

#2 U(avg) if total >134 65%
#3 U(avg) if total >133.7 64.1%
#4 O(avg) if total <142.5 61.5%
#4 ATS when favorite by less than 9 (11-2 past 10 years)
#5 Money Line 67%
#6 Money Line (3 dogs 2-1) 67%
#7 ATS Money Line (favorites 63.3%)
#8 O(avg) if total <142.(60%)
#5 over 55% <140.6
#6 under 55% >134.8

3rd Round group:

#1 Over 27-11, 71.1% 150 total Average
#3 20-15-2 ATS 57.1%
#5 17-6 stright up 73.4% 13-8-2, 61.9 percent ATS
#11 Under 11-3, 78.6% total average 137.7
#12 12-5, 61.5% ATS


As for leveling the playing field, this is how the top seeds fared in the 2nd round only with 2012 winners and losers omitted. I can tell you that the #1 seeds are 115-1 when 2012 results are included.

2nd round history:
The #1 seed is 112–0 against the #16 seed (100%).
The #2 seed is 106–6 against the #15 seed (94.64%).
The #3 seed is 96–16 against the #14 seed (85.71%).
The #4 seed is 88–24 against the #13 seed (78.57%).
The #5 seed is 74–38 against the #12 seed (66.07%).
The #6 seed is 74–38 against the #11 seed (66.07%).
The #7 seed is 67–45 against the #10 seed (59.82%).
The #8 seed is 54–58 against the #9 seed (48.21%).

I wish you all the best of luck. Those now taking an emergency trip to Vegas and those set on winning the bracket contest and yahoo, or NBCsport, or ESPN, or Cbs, or elsewhere. There's plenty of information that will tell you who wins in the 3rd round. If you need it, go find it.
 

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