Kentucky is proving that all politics is local

[Jroc]

The GOP just took the Senate in November and increased it's margin in the HOR, and yet, in Mitch McConnell's state, where he just won re-election in a landslide, a Democrat is leading in polling for the upcoming KY Gubernatorial this year.

Not only that, the pollster who just released this information, Gravis, is a self-identified REPUBLICAN pollster:

Kentucky Democrat Conway leads GOP contenders in governor s race

GOVERNOR – KENTUCKY (Gravis)
Jack Conway (D) 40%
James Comer (R) 37%

Margin: Conway +3

Jack Conway (D) 43%
Cathy Bailey (R) 30%

Margin: Conway +13

Jack Conway (D) 43%
Hal Heiner (R) 34%

Margin: Conway +9

Jack Conway (D) 44%
Matt Bevin (R) 36%

Margin: Conway +8

Sample group: 608 RV, MoE = +/-4.0, taken January 5-6, 2015.


A couple of those names should be names that people will recognize: Jack Conway was Rand Paul's opponent in the 2010 KY Senatorial.

And Matt Bevin was Mitch McConnell's challenge from the Tea Party right in the 2014 KY Primaries.

Also:

Hal Heiner is a former Louisville Metro Councilman and a former GOP mayoral candidate for Louisville.

James Comer is the Agriculture Secretary of KY, since 2012.

Cathy Bailey is a businesswoman and former US Ambassador to Latvia.


Just to remind:

McConnell just won in 2014 in KY by a landslide +15.47% margin
Rand Paul won in KY in 2010 by a landslide +11.47% margin

But in 2011, as many were crowing that the GOP would unseat Obama in 2012, Steve Beshear, a Democrat, won the 2011 KY Gubernatorial by a massive +20.43% blowout margin.

The point I am making is already in the title to this thread: all politics is local. And it is foolish to declare one major political party as dead and gone based on just one election. Kentucky proved that point in 2011 and may just prove it again in 2015.

Many said in 2010 that Jack Conway, a very good speaker, has the look and "feel" of a perfect VP candidate. Just a FYI. With Hillary as the presumptive DEM nominee for 2016, this means that Kentucky very likely becomes a battleground state, ala 1992 and 1996.

Caveat: this is just one poll and in no way guarantees Conway a win come election day. But it is quite telling that a Democrat is doing this well in ruby-red Kentucky so quickly after the DEMS received a pasting last November.

So how'd that work out for ya?

It was never about me. I wasn't on the ballot.

See how that works?

The premise of your thread is wrong. all elections are not local. Marl Levin backed, and helped this guy with national coverage. Which resulted in a 10 to 15% point swing

 

[imawhosure]

What is plainly obvious now, is that people who are pissed off have translated into votes. That has to be scary for the establishment of both parties, and every self important statistician who thinks they can call an election before 1 vote is cast.

 

[Meathead]

Kentucky is proving that ACA and Obama;s legacy are toast.