Jan '12 GOP Nomination Predictions

Discussion in 'Politics' started by GHook93, Jan 3, 2012.

  1. GHook93
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    GHook93 Aristotle

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    IW:
    (1) Romney - Shocks everyone and wins the state. He wins on electability and economic experience.
    (2) Santorum - Wins the social conservative vote. He is the Huckabee of 2012.
    (3) Paul - RP screamed about getting press. He finally got it, but its on the racist newsletter, his stance on Civil Rights Act and his bonehead foreign policy.
    (4) Perry - Came in 3rd in the social vote
    (5) Gingrich - He is proof attack ads work
    (6) Bachmann - This isn't the straw-poll
    (7) Huntsman - Hope NH is better!
    Results: Bachmann bows out.

    NH:
    (1) Romney - He has been 20 pt
    (2) Gingrich - Shocks the people with somewhat of a revival
    (3) Huntsman - All those eggs in NH didn't pay off enough
    (4) Perry - 2nd bad showing was enough.
    (5) Paul - Paul fans are starting to get mad
    (6) Santorum - The IW high has waried off
    Results: Huntsman bows out (not like he really ever ran)

    SC:
    (1) Gingrich - Gets a revived spirit into his campaign!
    (2) Romney - Romney and Gingrich fight starts to heat up.
    (3) Paul - Paul fans get excited for another bronze metal
    (4) Perry - The Texas Gov packs up and goes to TX
    (5) Santorum - 2nd straight last place, but he has nothing to lose
    Result: Perry drops out

    FL:
    (1) Romney - It's the economy stupid and like it or not Mitt has the edge on Newt
    (2) Gingrich - A close 2nd. It has become a two horse race
    (3) Paul - Another bronze metal, but he is in it to the end like the last time.
    (4) Santorum - IW was a long ways back
    Result: Santorum bows out

    By the end of January there is a close race between Romney and Gingrich with Paul tagging along to win the internet voting by 50 points on every debate.
     
  2. francoHFW
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    francoHFW Platinum Member

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    Jeb Bush zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz.
     
  3. JoeB131
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    JoeB131 Diamond Member

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    I can't see Newt continuing if he doesn't do well tonight and fourth place isn't doing well.

    McCain got fourth place and still won, but he won NH and SC.

    I suspect Mittens will win, but there will be no real enthusiasm for him. Probably a strong third party for conservatives to vent their spleens and prevent him from ever really moving to the center, which is what he really, really wants to do.

    I've said it before. Mittens is a sacrificial lamb, he's not supposed to win. The Republicans don't want to beat Obama, he's the best fundraiser they've ever had.
     
  4. uptownlivin90
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    uptownlivin90 Rebelious Youngin

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    Iowa:
    Paul wins, Romney in close second.

    New Hampshire:
    Romney wins, Paul comes in a pretty far second, followed by Santorum or Huntsman, then Bachmann.

    South Carolina:
    Bachmann or Santorum wins, Romney and Paul comes in second or third, the evangelical vote will consolidate around either Bachmann or Santorum here.

    Florida:
    It's a three man/woman race: Bachmann/Santorum, Romney, Paul. Toss Up.
     
  5. Seawytch
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    Seawytch Information isnt Advocacy

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    LOL...so true. I thought the same thing the other day..."I wonder how the Paul Heads like all the press now." :lol:

    With Press coverage comes scrutiny...something Ron Paul doesn't hold up to very well.

    I've heard rumors of some folks trying to sell Jeb Bush as the Americans Elect candidate.
     
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  6. GHook93
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    GHook93 Aristotle

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    Nearly called it to the T. Just flip Perry and Gingrich and I had them all correct.
     
  7. Avatar4321
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    Avatar4321 Diamond Member Gold Supporting Member

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    I think Newt, Santorum, and Perry are all likely to split the anti-Romney vote in SC. You may end up seeing Romney come out on top there. Not making any predictions this early though. Who knows what NH will do next week.
     
  8. Mr. Shaman
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    Mr. Shaman Senior Member

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  9. GHook93
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    GHook93 Aristotle

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    I don't believe there is the anti-Romney vote. It's a media hypothesis to keep people interested. I think Romney won because the economy is the big issue and he is the man with the private sector experience!
     
  10. JoeB131
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    So again, you think it's smart for the GOP to nominate a guy that 75% of the party really doesn't want?
     

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