Polls mean nothing at this stage of the game comparing Obama to Republicans.
Gas goes up around October and Obama's #s go down
Gas goes down and his #s go up.
Same with many other factors such as the war, etc.
But it seems that your scenarios almost always have to be something bad happening to Obama, they never seem to involved the Dog-Torturer's ability to impress anyone.
Since unemployment is going down, you all can't talk about that so much, so you think gas prices are the issue.
Here's the thing. Romney won't win because he isn't a unifying figure even for Republicans. Usually, the only way to dislodge an incumbant is to have a unified party combined with a divided base for the President. This is what happened in 1992 and 1980.
He has nowhere near the skill of a Reagan or a Clinton. While these two were silver tongued devils, Romney is more along the lines of weird Mormon Robot who occassional has his programming miss a beat, when he says things like "I like be able to fire people" "the trees are the right height" and "exterminate all humans!"
(okay, I made that last one up.)
He does not need the skill of a Reagan or a Clinton.
He has more skill than Obama with his hands tied and eyes blindfolded.
Obama has to go as he knows nothing about the free market, man never held a real job in his life.
Get in the real world.